Oriola Force
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 14
Attacker wins (German): 8
Defender wins (Russian): 6
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1146 | 1178 | 45% | 2026-03-09 | Won |
| 1174 | 1114 | 59% | 2020-01-21 | Lost |
| 1030 | 1243 | 23% | 2019-12-31 | Won |
| 1123 | 970 | 71% | 2019-03-01 | Won |
| 1082 | 1167 | 38% | 2013-07-29 | Lost |
| 1226 | 999 | 79% | 2013-06-29 | Lost |
| 999 | 1122 | 33% | 2013-06-29 | Lost |
| 1030 | 1132 | 36% | 2013-06-29 | Won |
| 1143 | 1114 | 54% | 2013-06-23 | Won |
| 981 | 1060 | 39% | 2008-09-20 | Lost |
| 1010 | 1120 | 35% | 2007-08-25 | Lost |
| 1140 | 1186 | 43% | 2005-08-14 | Won |
| 1030 | 1082 | 43% | 2003-06-25 | Won |
| 1383 | 1342 | 56% | 2003-05-14 | Won |
Attacking (8 wins) average ELOs: 1106.9 vs 1130.6 has a 46.59% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).