Gut Check
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 22 (3 on the archive and 19 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 8
Defender wins (Russian): 14
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1106 | 1024 | 62% | 2024-03-31 | Lost |
| 1141 | 1011 | 68% | 2005-01-24 | Lost |
| 1079 | 1063 | 52% | 2005-01-14 | Lost |
Attacking (0 wins) average ELOs: 1108.7 vs 1032.7 has a 60.77% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).