Gut Check
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 21 (3 on the archive and 18 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 8
Defender wins (Russian): 13
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1110 | 1016 | 63% | 2024-03-31 | Lost |
| 1170 | 904 | 82% | 2005-01-24 | Lost |
| 1043 | 1019 | 53% | 2005-01-14 | Lost |
Attacking (0 wins) average ELOs: 1107.7 vs 979.7 has a 67.63% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).