Commandos, Not Supermen
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 42 (10 on the archive and 32 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Japanese): 18
Defender wins (Australian): 24
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 947 | 1044 | 36% | 2024-11-27 | Lost |
| 1116 | 1139 | 47% | 2011-08-01 | Won |
| 1063 | 999 | 59% | 2009-02-01 | Won |
| 829 | 967 | 31% | 2008-02-24 | Lost |
| 829 | 940 | 35% | 2006-04-30 | Lost |
| 918 | 1019 | 36% | 2004-12-02 | Won |
| 1019 | 918 | 64% | 2004-11-15 | Lost |
| 829 | 926 | 36% | 2001-10-21 | Lost |
| 1189 | 829 | 89% | 2001-02-10 | Won |
| 1050 | 829 | 78% | 2001-01-12 | Lost |
Attacking (4 wins) average ELOs: 978.9 vs 961 has a 52.57% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).