Ghost of Napoleon
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 13
Attacker wins (German (SS)): 5
Defender wins (Russian): 8
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1174 | 1169 | 51% | 2025-11-10 | Won |
| 950 | 970 | 47% | 2025-11-07 | Lost |
| 1140 | 1137 | 50% | 2025-10-23 | Lost |
| 1218 | 933 | 84% | 2018-09-02 | Lost |
| 1065 | 1055 | 51% | 2014-11-14 | Lost |
| 1065 | 1055 | 51% | 2014-11-07 | Lost |
| 1174 | 1061 | 66% | 2012-09-08 | Lost |
| 1098 | 1037 | 59% | 2010-05-17 | Won |
| 1098 | 753 | 88% | 2010-01-01 | Won |
| 1036 | 1102 | 41% | 2006-01-01 | Lost |
| 1209 | 1023 | 74% | 1999-11-24 | Won |
| 1182 | 1101 | 61% | 1999-09-26 | Won |
| 1182 | 1101 | 61% | 1999-09-26 | Lost |
Attacking (5 wins) average ELOs: 1122.4 vs 1038.2 has a 61.88% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).