Ghost of Napoleon
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 12
Attacker wins (German (SS)): 5
Defender wins (Russian): 7
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1206 | 1168 | 55% | 2025-11-10 | Won |
| 967 | 951 | 52% | 2025-11-07 | Lost |
| 1217 | 932 | 84% | 2018-09-02 | Lost |
| 1011 | 1053 | 44% | 2014-11-14 | Lost |
| 1011 | 1053 | 44% | 2014-11-07 | Lost |
| 1206 | 1038 | 72% | 2012-09-08 | Lost |
| 1099 | 1037 | 59% | 2010-05-17 | Won |
| 1099 | 1009 | 63% | 2010-01-01 | Won |
| 1035 | 1103 | 40% | 2006-01-01 | Lost |
| 1208 | 1109 | 64% | 1999-11-24 | Won |
| 1176 | 1100 | 61% | 1999-09-26 | Won |
| 1176 | 1100 | 61% | 1999-09-26 | Lost |
Attacking (5 wins) average ELOs: 1117.6 vs 1054.4 has a 58.99% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).