Ghost of Napoleon
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 47 (13 on the archive and 34 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German (SS)): 30
Defender wins (Russian): 17
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Balance | Outcome |
|---|
| 1138 | 1000 | 69% | 2025-11-10 | | Won |
| 963 | 970 | 49% | 2025-11-07 | | Lost |
| 1141 | 1000 | 69% | 2025-10-23 | | Lost |
| 1218 | 1000 | 78% | 2018-09-02 | | Lost |
| 1111 | 1055 | 58% | 2014-11-14 | | Lost |
| 1111 | 1055 | 58% | 2014-11-07 | | Lost |
| 1138 | 1040 | 64% | 2012-09-08 | | Lost |
| 1100 | 1000 | 64% | 2010-05-17 | | Won |
| 1100 | 1000 | 64% | 2010-01-01 | | Won |
| 1035 | 1102 | 40% | 2006-01-01 | | Lost |
| 1209 | 1007 | 76% | 1999-11-24 | | Won |
| 1172 | 1101 | 60% | 1999-09-26 | | Won |
| 1172 | 1101 | 60% | 1999-09-26 | | Lost |
Attacking (5 wins) average ELOs: 1123.7 vs 1033.2 has a 62.74% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).