Ghost of Napoleon
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 13
Attacker wins (German (SS)): 5
Defender wins (Russian): 8
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1152 | 1168 | 48% | 2025-11-10 | Won |
| 923 | 970 | 43% | 2025-11-07 | Lost |
| 1141 | 1138 | 50% | 2025-10-23 | Lost |
| 1216 | 932 | 84% | 2018-09-02 | Lost |
| 952 | 1055 | 36% | 2014-11-14 | Lost |
| 952 | 1055 | 36% | 2014-11-07 | Lost |
| 1152 | 1060 | 63% | 2012-09-08 | Lost |
| 1099 | 1038 | 59% | 2010-05-17 | Won |
| 1099 | 999 | 64% | 2010-01-01 | Won |
| 1035 | 1102 | 40% | 2006-01-01 | Lost |
| 1209 | 1031 | 74% | 1999-11-24 | Won |
| 1182 | 1101 | 61% | 1999-09-26 | Won |
| 1182 | 1101 | 61% | 1999-09-26 | Lost |
Attacking (5 wins) average ELOs: 1099.5 vs 1057.7 has a 55.99% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).