Ghost of Napoleon
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 10
Attacker wins (German (SS)): 4
Defender wins (Russian): 6
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1219 | 933 | 84% | 2018-09-02 | Lost |
| 988 | 1054 | 41% | 2014-11-14 | Lost |
| 988 | 1054 | 41% | 2014-11-07 | Lost |
| 1182 | 994 | 75% | 2012-09-08 | Lost |
| 1106 | 1055 | 57% | 2010-05-17 | Won |
| 1106 | 1020 | 62% | 2010-01-01 | Won |
| 1034 | 1110 | 39% | 2006-01-01 | Lost |
| 1208 | 1064 | 70% | 1999-11-24 | Won |
| 1177 | 1100 | 61% | 1999-09-26 | Won |
| 1177 | 1100 | 61% | 1999-09-26 | Lost |
Attacking (4 wins) average ELOs: 1118.5 vs 1048.4 has a 59.95% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).