This Close to the Sharp End
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 49 (8 on the archive and 41 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (British): 28
Defender wins (German): 21
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Balance | Outcome |
|---|
| 1018 | 1127 | 35% | 2005-11-18 | | Won |
| 1074 | 1000 | 60% | 2001-04-23 | | Won |
| 1141 | 767 | 90% | 1999-08-02 | | Lost |
| 1263 | 1211 | 57% | 1998-10-25 | | Won |
| 1263 | 1000 | 82% | 1998-10-18 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1066 | 41% | 1998-10-08 | | Lost |
| 1101 | 1000 | 64% | 1998-05-13 | | Won |
| 1101 | 1000 | 64% | 1997-07-19 | | Lost |
Attacking (5 wins) average ELOs: 1120.1 vs 1021.4 has a 63.84% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).