Thunderbolts
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 40 (5 on the archive and 35 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (American): 13
Defender wins (German): 27
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 982 | 919 | 59% | 2015-10-14 | Lost |
| 983 | 1005 | 47% | 2015-08-09 | Lost |
| 1082 | 1050 | 55% | 2002-05-24 | Won |
| 1005 | 846 | 71% | 1998-12-05 | Lost |
| 1133 | 1225 | 37% | 1997-07-05 | Lost |
Attacking (1 wins) average ELOs: 1037 vs 1009 has a 54.02% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).