Thunderbolts
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 41 (6 on the archive and 35 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (American): 25
Defender wins (German): 16
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 982 | 967 | 52% | 2015-10-14 | Lost |
| 1018 | 1063 | 44% | 2015-08-09 | Lost |
| 1123 | 1093 | 54% | 2002-05-24 | Won |
| 1063 | 878 | 74% | 1998-12-05 | Lost |
| 1152 | 1189 | 45% | 1998-06-27 | Won |
| 1127 | 1233 | 35% | 1997-07-05 | Lost |
Attacking (2 wins) average ELOs: 1077.5 vs 1070.5 has a 51.01% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).