Operation NIWI
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 54 (16 on the archive and 38 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 21
Defender wins (Belgian): 33
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
---|
1012 | 1006 | 51% | 2022-10-13 | Won |
1022 | 1037 | 48% | 2021-06-19 | Lost |
1032 | 1028 | 51% | 2021-05-18 | Lost |
956 | 1072 | 34% | 2020-07-27 | Won |
920 | 892 | 54% | 2020-04-18 | Won |
1429 | 1190 | 80% | 2019-12-14 | Won |
968 | 1003 | 45% | 2018-11-25 | Lost |
1083 | 918 | 72% | 2018-06-24 | Won |
1109 | 1098 | 52% | 2018-01-07 | Won |
1058 | 953 | 65% | 2014-10-13 | Won |
1138 | 1109 | 54% | 2014-08-13 | Lost |
989 | 933 | 58% | 2012-11-16 | Lost |
701 | 1108 | 9% | 2012-01-07 | Lost |
1093 | 1090 | 50% | 2010-08-12 | Lost |
1097 | 1327 | 21% | 2003-07-26 | Lost |
1097 | 1327 | 21% | 2003-07-26 | Lost |
Attacking (7 wins) average ELOs: 1044 vs 1068.2 has a 46.52% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).