Operation NIWI
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 18
Attacker wins (German): 8
Defender wins (Belgian): 10
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1008 | 1242 | 21% | 2024-07-02 | Lost |
| 1022 | 972 | 57% | 2024-03-24 | Won |
| 1011 | 972 | 56% | 2022-10-13 | Won |
| 928 | 1038 | 35% | 2021-06-19 | Lost |
| 963 | 1019 | 42% | 2021-05-18 | Lost |
| 980 | 1130 | 30% | 2020-07-27 | Won |
| 940 | 864 | 61% | 2020-04-18 | Won |
| 1431 | 1190 | 80% | 2019-12-14 | Won |
| 967 | 987 | 47% | 2018-11-25 | Lost |
| 1028 | 917 | 65% | 2018-06-24 | Won |
| 1191 | 1094 | 64% | 2018-01-07 | Won |
| 1040 | 952 | 62% | 2014-10-13 | Won |
| 1131 | 1191 | 41% | 2014-08-13 | Lost |
| 1060 | 931 | 68% | 2012-11-16 | Lost |
| 694 | 1118 | 8% | 2012-01-07 | Lost |
| 1091 | 1097 | 49% | 2010-08-12 | Lost |
| 1108 | 1242 | 32% | 2003-07-26 | Lost |
| 1108 | 1242 | 32% | 2003-07-26 | Lost |
Attacking (8 wins) average ELOs: 1038.9 vs 1066.6 has a 46.03% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).