Operation NIWI
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 18
Attacker wins (German): 8
Defender wins (Belgian): 10
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1027 | 1150 | 33% | 2024-07-02 | Lost |
| 1022 | 986 | 55% | 2024-03-24 | Won |
| 1011 | 1010 | 50% | 2022-10-13 | Won |
| 928 | 1038 | 35% | 2021-06-19 | Lost |
| 890 | 1020 | 32% | 2021-05-18 | Lost |
| 980 | 1121 | 31% | 2020-07-27 | Won |
| 966 | 844 | 67% | 2020-04-18 | Won |
| 1431 | 1190 | 80% | 2019-12-14 | Won |
| 967 | 1023 | 42% | 2018-11-25 | Lost |
| 1037 | 917 | 67% | 2018-06-24 | Won |
| 1138 | 1073 | 59% | 2018-01-07 | Won |
| 1040 | 953 | 62% | 2014-10-13 | Won |
| 1131 | 1138 | 49% | 2014-08-13 | Lost |
| 1099 | 931 | 72% | 2012-11-16 | Lost |
| 693 | 1086 | 9% | 2012-01-07 | Lost |
| 1090 | 1102 | 48% | 2010-08-12 | Lost |
| 1099 | 1150 | 43% | 2003-07-26 | Lost |
| 1099 | 1150 | 43% | 2003-07-26 | Lost |
Attacking (8 wins) average ELOs: 1036 vs 1049 has a 48.13% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).