The New Boy
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 26 (8 on the archive and 18 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 13
Defender wins (American): 13
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Balance | Outcome |
|---|
| 1164 | 1000 | 72% | 2021-12-08 | | Won |
| 1123 | 850 | 83% | 2018-11-17 | | Won |
| 1120 | 1147 | 46% | 2017-11-18 | | Won |
| 1101 | 870 | 79% | 2012-03-25 | | Won |
| 832 | 1139 | 15% | 2003-09-01 | | Lost |
| 1127 | 1025 | 64% | 2003-05-31 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1101 | 36% | 2003-05-14 | | Won |
| 1101 | 1000 | 64% | 2003-05-13 | | Won |
Attacking (7 wins) average ELOs: 1071 vs 1016.5 has a 57.78% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).