Raiders at Regi
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 17
Attacker wins (American (USMC)): 4
Defender wins (Japanese): 13
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Balance | Outcome |
|---|
| 1156 | 982 | 73% | 2022-02-19 | | Lost |
| 843 | 932 | 37% | 2020-04-25 | | Lost |
| 981 | 1000 | 47% | 2019-03-16 | | Lost |
| 918 | 1116 | 24% | 2015-03-15 | | Lost |
| 987 | 1060 | 40% | 2013-07-30 | | Lost |
| 1015 | 1000 | 52% | 2009-10-10 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1018 | 47% | 2004-12-27 | | Lost |
| 990 | 1141 | 30% | 2004-10-10 | | Lost |
| 925 | 1074 | 30% | 2004-09-24 | | Lost |
| 1074 | 1087 | 48% | 2004-09-24 | | Lost |
| 1022 | 1211 | 25% | 2004-07-24 | | Won |
| 1022 | 1000 | 53% | 2004-07-05 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1167 | 28% | 1999-09-15 | | Won |
| 1167 | 1000 | 72% | 1999-09-15 | | Lost |
| 1039 | 1000 | 56% | 1999-06-21 | | Lost |
| 1068 | 1000 | 60% | 1997-01-01 | | Lost |
| 1086 | 1018 | 60% | | | Won |
Attacking (4 wins) average ELOs: 1017.2 vs 1047.4 has a 45.67% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).