Piano Lupo
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 14
Attacker wins (American): 4
Defender wins (Italian / German): 10
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 968 | 985 | 48% | 2021-09-23 | Lost |
| 935 | 1076 | 31% | 2020-06-16 | Won |
| 1118 | 877 | 80% | 2015-09-19 | Lost |
| 1152 | 988 | 72% | 2014-10-06 | Won |
| 1269 | 1008 | 82% | 2014-01-10 | Won |
| 1029 | 1011 | 53% | 2010-07-28 | Lost |
| 1034 | 1042 | 49% | 2010-02-02 | Lost |
| 1055 | 1329 | 17% | 2006-02-03 | Lost |
| 1029 | 1055 | 46% | 2005-03-11 | Won |
| 1182 | 994 | 75% | 2004-12-24 | Lost |
| 1014 | 1044 | 46% | 1999-07-07 | Lost |
| 1021 | 1050 | 46% | 1999-05-14 | Lost |
| 1100 | 890 | 77% | 1998-10-17 | Lost |
| 1117 | 1036 | 61% | 1988-01-01 | Lost |
Attacking (4 wins) average ELOs: 1073.1 vs 1027.5 has a 56.52% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).