Piano Lupo
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 11
Attacker wins (American): 3
Defender wins (Italian / German): 8
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 947 | 1044 | 36% | 2021-09-23 | Lost |
| 960 | 1076 | 34% | 2020-06-16 | Won |
| 1031 | 955 | 61% | 2015-09-19 | Lost |
| 1275 | 1022 | 81% | 2014-01-10 | Won |
| 1029 | 1011 | 53% | 2010-07-28 | Lost |
| 1030 | 1041 | 48% | 2010-02-02 | Lost |
| 1023 | 1310 | 16% | 2006-02-03 | Lost |
| 1029 | 1055 | 46% | 2005-03-11 | Won |
| 1148 | 994 | 71% | 2004-12-24 | Lost |
| 1098 | 890 | 77% | 1998-10-17 | Lost |
| 1103 | 1063 | 56% | 1988-01-01 | Lost |
Attacking (3 wins) average ELOs: 1061.2 vs 1041.9 has a 52.77% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).