Piano Lupo
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 15
Attacker wins (American): 4
Defender wins (Italian / German): 11
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 937 | 1061 | 33% | 2021-09-23 | Lost |
| 942 | 1076 | 32% | 2020-06-16 | Won |
| 1050 | 922 | 68% | 2015-09-19 | Lost |
| 1152 | 988 | 72% | 2014-10-06 | Won |
| 1210 | 1008 | 76% | 2014-01-10 | Won |
| 1029 | 1011 | 53% | 2010-07-28 | Lost |
| 1035 | 1042 | 49% | 2010-02-02 | Lost |
| 1057 | 1333 | 17% | 2006-02-03 | Lost |
| 1029 | 1055 | 46% | 2005-03-11 | Won |
| 1145 | 998 | 70% | 2004-12-24 | Lost |
| 998 | 998 | 50% | 2004-12-15 | Lost |
| 1014 | 1065 | 43% | 1999-07-07 | Lost |
| 1021 | 1063 | 44% | 1999-05-14 | Lost |
| 1100 | 890 | 77% | 1998-10-17 | Lost |
| 1117 | 1028 | 63% | 1988-01-01 | Lost |
Attacking (4 wins) average ELOs: 1055.7 vs 1035.9 has a 52.86% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).