Piano Lupo
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 15
Attacker wins (American): 4
Defender wins (Italian / German): 11
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1002 | 997 | 51% | 2021-09-23 | Lost |
| 965 | 1076 | 35% | 2020-06-16 | Won |
| 1080 | 910 | 73% | 2015-09-19 | Lost |
| 1151 | 988 | 72% | 2014-10-06 | Won |
| 1216 | 1028 | 75% | 2014-01-10 | Won |
| 1029 | 1011 | 53% | 2010-07-28 | Lost |
| 1035 | 1042 | 49% | 2010-02-02 | Lost |
| 1056 | 1333 | 17% | 2006-02-03 | Lost |
| 1029 | 1055 | 46% | 2005-03-11 | Won |
| 1196 | 1048 | 70% | 2004-12-24 | Lost |
| 1030 | 1048 | 47% | 2004-12-15 | Lost |
| 1202 | 1080 | 67% | 1999-07-07 | Lost |
| 1021 | 1068 | 43% | 1999-05-14 | Lost |
| 1100 | 890 | 77% | 1998-10-17 | Lost |
| 1117 | 1003 | 66% | 1988-01-01 | Lost |
Attacking (4 wins) average ELOs: 1081.9 vs 1038.5 has a 56.22% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).