Piano Lupo
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 15
Attacker wins (American): 4
Defender wins (Italian / German): 11
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 900 | 1108 | 23% | 2021-09-23 | Lost |
| 966 | 1076 | 35% | 2020-06-16 | Won |
| 1059 | 941 | 66% | 2015-09-19 | Lost |
| 1140 | 988 | 71% | 2014-10-06 | Won |
| 1203 | 1029 | 73% | 2014-01-10 | Won |
| 1028 | 1015 | 52% | 2010-07-28 | Lost |
| 1036 | 1042 | 49% | 2010-02-02 | Lost |
| 1056 | 1252 | 24% | 2006-02-03 | Lost |
| 1032 | 1058 | 46% | 2005-03-11 | Won |
| 1238 | 1049 | 75% | 2004-12-24 | Lost |
| 1049 | 1049 | 50% | 2004-12-15 | Lost |
| 1189 | 1080 | 65% | 1999-07-07 | Lost |
| 1022 | 1066 | 44% | 1999-05-14 | Lost |
| 1101 | 993 | 65% | 1998-10-17 | Lost |
| 1105 | 1031 | 60% | 1988-01-01 | Lost |
Attacking (4 wins) average ELOs: 1074.9 vs 1051.8 has a 53.32% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).