Piano Lupo
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 15
Attacker wins (American): 4
Defender wins (Italian / German): 11
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1077 | 953 | 67% | 2021-09-23 | Lost |
| 967 | 1076 | 35% | 2020-06-16 | Won |
| 1086 | 918 | 72% | 2015-09-19 | Lost |
| 1140 | 988 | 71% | 2014-10-06 | Won |
| 1170 | 1028 | 69% | 2014-01-10 | Won |
| 1028 | 1015 | 52% | 2010-07-28 | Lost |
| 1036 | 1042 | 49% | 2010-02-02 | Lost |
| 1056 | 1274 | 22% | 2006-02-03 | Lost |
| 1032 | 1058 | 46% | 2005-03-11 | Won |
| 1219 | 1068 | 70% | 2004-12-24 | Lost |
| 1053 | 1068 | 48% | 2004-12-15 | Lost |
| 1189 | 1081 | 65% | 1999-07-07 | Lost |
| 1021 | 1068 | 43% | 1999-05-14 | Lost |
| 1101 | 992 | 65% | 1998-10-17 | Lost |
| 1104 | 1054 | 57% | 1988-01-01 | Lost |
Attacking (4 wins) average ELOs: 1085.3 vs 1045.5 has a 55.69% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).