Tod's Last Stand
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 21
Attacker wins (German): 12
Defender wins (British): 9
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1169 | 985 | 74% | 2022-11-25 | Won |
| 1007 | 986 | 53% | 2022-11-11 | Lost |
| 1228 | 1091 | 69% | 2020-12-01 | Won |
| 1208 | 1008 | 76% | 2018-05-19 | Lost |
| 1151 | 967 | 74% | 2017-10-12 | Won |
| 986 | 1034 | 43% | 2016-02-06 | Lost |
| 1138 | 1164 | 46% | 2012-01-14 | Lost |
| 927 | 958 | 46% | 2012-01-14 | Lost |
| 851 | 1020 | 27% | 2010-02-25 | Lost |
| 1041 | 1075 | 45% | 2008-10-25 | Lost |
| 1014 | 1185 | 27% | 2006-12-24 | Won |
| 1014 | 1014 | 50% | 2006-12-14 | Won |
| 996 | 1333 | 13% | 2006-07-15 | Won |
| 1152 | 1030 | 67% | 2000-10-07 | Won |
| 1051 | 942 | 65% | 2000-01-28 | Won |
| 1068 | 1170 | 36% | 2000-01-26 | Lost |
| 1068 | 1170 | 36% | 2000-01-14 | Lost |
| 1127 | 1118 | 51% | 2000-01-12 | Won |
| 1100 | 1139 | 44% | 1999-02-24 | Won |
| 1139 | 1113 | 54% | 1999-02-17 | Won |
| 713 | 1152 | 7% | 1998-03-04 | Won |
Attacking (12 wins) average ELOs: 1054.7 vs 1078.8 has a 46.54% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).