Tod's Last Stand
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 21
Attacker wins (German): 12
Defender wins (British): 9
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1133 | 1007 | 67% | 2022-11-25 | Won |
| 911 | 1090 | 26% | 2022-11-11 | Lost |
| 1228 | 1092 | 69% | 2020-12-01 | Won |
| 1203 | 1029 | 73% | 2018-05-19 | Lost |
| 1110 | 952 | 71% | 2017-10-12 | Won |
| 987 | 1028 | 44% | 2016-02-06 | Lost |
| 1138 | 1164 | 46% | 2012-01-14 | Lost |
| 920 | 959 | 44% | 2012-01-14 | Lost |
| 851 | 1019 | 28% | 2010-02-25 | Lost |
| 980 | 1073 | 37% | 2008-10-25 | Lost |
| 1049 | 1238 | 25% | 2006-12-24 | Won |
| 1049 | 1049 | 50% | 2006-12-14 | Won |
| 1021 | 1232 | 23% | 2006-07-15 | Won |
| 1140 | 1032 | 65% | 2000-10-07 | Won |
| 983 | 941 | 56% | 2000-01-28 | Won |
| 1066 | 1133 | 40% | 2000-01-26 | Lost |
| 1066 | 1133 | 40% | 2000-01-14 | Lost |
| 1173 | 1180 | 49% | 2000-01-12 | Won |
| 1101 | 1042 | 58% | 1999-02-24 | Won |
| 1042 | 1113 | 40% | 1999-02-17 | Won |
| 727 | 1140 | 8% | 1998-03-04 | Won |
Attacking (12 wins) average ELOs: 1041.8 vs 1078.4 has a 44.76% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).