Orlik and the Uhlans
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 60 (7 on the archive and 53 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 26
Defender wins (Polish): 34
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
---|
1000 | 1000 | 50% | 2024-07-20 | Won |
1065 | 1115 | 43% | 2015-10-12 | Lost |
1000 | 1012 | 48% | 2014-09-06 | Won |
796 | 1023 | 21% | 2013-06-25 | Won |
1066 | 1074 | 49% | 1999-12-05 | Won |
1010 | 1058 | 43% | 1999-10-01 | Won |
841 | 1082 | 20% | | Lost |
Attacking (5 wins) average ELOs: 968.3 vs 1052 has a 38.18% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).