Commando Kelly
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 6
Attacker wins (German): 2
Defender wins (American): 4
With balance for the defender (only):
Games played: 1
Attacker wins (German): 1
Defender wins (American): 0
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Balance | Outcome |
|---|
| 1037 | 1017 | 53% | 2024-01-13 | D | Won |
| 1218 | 1000 | 78% | 2016-07-12 | | Lost |
| 1126 | 1136 | 49% | 2016-01-25 | | Lost |
| 1209 | 1035 | 73% | 2007-05-16 | | Won |
| 1141 | 1000 | 69% | 2002-10-10 | | Lost |
| 1160 | 1125 | 55% | 2002-06-11 | | Lost |
| 1263 | 1000 | 82% | 2000-05-28 | | Won |
Attacking (3 wins) average ELOs: 1164.9 vs 1044.7 has a 66.63% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).