One Tough Canuck
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 65 (12 on the archive and 53 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German (SS)): 33
Defender wins (Canadian): 32
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1076 | 1090 | 48% | 2025-10-26 | Won |
| 1076 | 1050 | 54% | 2023-11-03 | Won |
| 1000 | 1000 | 50% | 2023-08-14 | Lost |
| 992 | 753 | 80% | 2023-03-23 | Lost |
| 931 | 1217 | 16% | 2020-12-19 | Lost |
| 1117 | 1000 | 66% | 2016-09-08 | Won |
| 1090 | 977 | 66% | 2015-06-26 | Won |
| 1217 | 1038 | 74% | 2012-10-01 | Lost |
| 1098 | 1081 | 52% | 2004-12-04 | Won |
| 830 | 1090 | 18% | 2002-08-13 | Won |
| 1217 | 999 | 78% | 2002-03-23 | Lost |
| 1101 | 1091 | 51% | | Lost |
Attacking (6 wins) average ELOs: 1062.1 vs 1032.2 has a 54.29% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).