One Tough Canuck
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 65 (12 on the archive and 53 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German (SS)): 33
Defender wins (Canadian): 32
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1193 | 1072 | 67% | 2025-10-26 | Won |
| 1135 | 1254 | 34% | 2023-11-03 | Won |
| 1036 | 1047 | 48% | 2023-08-14 | Lost |
| 1206 | 978 | 79% | 2023-03-23 | Lost |
| 1047 | 1151 | 35% | 2020-12-19 | Lost |
| 1029 | 1000 | 54% | 2016-09-08 | Won |
| 1189 | 970 | 78% | 2015-06-26 | Won |
| 1151 | 1028 | 67% | 2012-10-01 | Lost |
| 1174 | 1105 | 60% | 2004-12-04 | Won |
| 831 | 1189 | 11% | 2002-08-13 | Won |
| 1151 | 994 | 71% | 2002-03-23 | Lost |
| 1117 | 1047 | 60% | | Lost |
Attacking (6 wins) average ELOs: 1104.9 vs 1069.6 has a 55.07% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).