One Tough Canuck
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 13
Attacker wins (German (SS)): 6
Defender wins (Canadian): 7
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Balance | Outcome |
|---|
| 1202 | 1029 | 73% | 2025-10-26 | | Won |
| 1164 | 1202 | 45% | 2023-11-03 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1038 | 45% | 2023-08-14 | | Lost |
| 1215 | 1000 | 78% | 2023-03-23 | | Lost |
| 1048 | 1141 | 37% | 2020-12-19 | | Lost |
| 1063 | 1000 | 59% | 2016-09-08 | | Won |
| 1139 | 976 | 72% | 2015-06-26 | | Won |
| 1141 | 1000 | 69% | 2012-10-01 | | Lost |
| 1100 | 1056 | 56% | 2004-12-04 | | Won |
| 832 | 1139 | 15% | 2002-08-13 | | Won |
| 1141 | 995 | 70% | 2002-03-23 | | Lost |
| 1344 | 1000 | 88% | 2001-06-24 | | Lost |
| 1070 | 1018 | 57% | | | Lost |
Attacking (6 wins) average ELOs: 1112.2 vs 1045.7 has a 59.46% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).