The Last Tiger
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 30
Attacker wins (Russian): 17
Defender wins (German): 12
With balance for the defender (only):
Games played: 1
Attacker wins (Russian): 0
Defender wins (German): 1
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 952 | 1156 | 24% | 2024-02-09 | Lost |
| 1036 | 963 | 60% | 2024-01-12 | Lost |
| 1226 | 976 | 81% | 2023-08-29 | Won |
| 955 | 969 | 48% | 2023-07-09 | Lost |
| 1000 | 1006 | 49% | 2018-08-03 | Won |
| 1219 | 1091 | 68% | 2018-02-18 | Won |
| 1099 | 987 | 66% | 2017-11-22 | Won |
| 987 | 1030 | 44% | 2017-11-18 | Won |
| 1000 | 1047 | 43% | 2017-03-14 | Won |
| 1140 | 1071 | 60% | 2015-04-13 | Won |
| 1033 | 907 | 67% | 2015-02-25 | Lost |
| 1126 | 1116 | 51% | 2015-01-20 | Won |
| 1126 | 1202 | 39% | 2014-11-28 | Lost |
| 1146 | 1039 | 65% | 2014-10-28 | Won |
| 1167 | 979 | 75% | 2014-08-16 | Lost |
| 985 | 1148 | 28% | 2013-01-26 | Lost |
| 984 | 1126 | 31% | 2012-02-07 | Won |
| 985 | 1019 | 45% | 2010-10-29 | Lost |
| 1141 | 1120 | 53% | 2009-09-25 | Lost |
| 1185 | 1060 | 67% | 2009-07-27 | Won |
| 1167 | 1108 | 58% | 2008-10-24 | Won |
| 969 | 1099 | 32% | 2008-04-25 | Won |
| 1120 | 1019 | 64% | 2007-05-19 | Lost |
| 1120 | 1056 | 59% | 2007-05-19 | Lost |
| 1031 | 1012 | 53% | 2004-03-20 | Lost |
| 1023 | 1101 | 39% | 2003-04-25 | Won |
| 1095 | 1101 | 49% | 2002-02-07 | Lost |
| 1101 | 1095 | 51% | 2002-02-06 | Won |
| 1119 | 1066 | 58% | 2001-11-03 | Won |
| 1141 | 1206 | 41% | 2001-10-20 | Won |
Attacking (17 wins) average ELOs: 1079.3 vs 1062.5 has a 52.41% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).