Pesky Pachyderms
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 51 (11 on the archive and 40 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 30
Defender wins (Russian): 20
With balance for the attacker (only):
Games played: 1
Attacker wins (German): 0
Defender wins (Russian): 1
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 974 | 1047 | 40% | 2025-12-05 | Won |
| 913 | 1166 | 19% | 2023-10-18 | Lost |
| 1068 | 966 | 64% | 2021-12-18 | Won |
| 1048 | 1152 | 35% | 2021-03-11 | Lost |
| 960 | 1116 | 29% | 2020-02-15 | Won |
| 1046 | 1158 | 34% | 2007-05-27 | Lost |
| 1062 | 960 | 64% | 2007-05-27 | Won |
| 1159 | 1097 | 59% | 2006-04-17 | Won |
| 1056 | 948 | 65% | 2006-01-13 | Won |
| 1209 | 967 | 80% | 2005-06-30 | Won |
| 1108 | 1343 | 21% | 2004-06-23 | Lost |
Attacking (7 wins) average ELOs: 1054.8 vs 1083.6 has a 45.86% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).