Expelling The Guards
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 6
Attacker wins (German): 4
Defender wins (Russian): 2
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1035 | 1032 | 50% | 2023-12-12 | Won |
| 897 | 1098 | 24% | 2022-11-04 | Won |
| 1162 | 1066 | 63% | 2020-12-09 | Lost |
| 987 | 1039 | 43% | 2007-01-12 | Won |
| 1127 | 1064 | 59% | 2006-10-20 | Lost |
| 1177 | 1152 | 54% | 2006-10-03 | Won |
Attacking (4 wins) average ELOs: 1064.2 vs 1075.2 has a 48.42% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).