Crater Lake
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 16 (5 on the archive and 11 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Canadian): 8
Defender wins (German): 8
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Balance | Outcome |
|---|
| 1055 | 1020 | 55% | 2024-10-11 | | Won |
| 1134 | 1000 | 68% | 2023-02-22 | | Won |
| 1120 | 1019 | 64% | 2006-10-20 | | Won |
| 1120 | 1056 | 59% | 2006-10-20 | | Won |
| 1141 | 1022 | 66% | 2004-10-07 | | Lost |
Attacking (4 wins) average ELOs: 1114 vs 1023.4 has a 62.75% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).