Pursuing Kobayashi
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 40 (11 on the archive and 29 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (American): 16
Defender wins (Japanese): 24
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1045 | 1064 | 47% | 2025-11-13 | Won |
| 1088 | 930 | 71% | 2025-11-12 | Won |
| 864 | 1047 | 26% | 2024-01-23 | Lost |
| 1063 | 1002 | 59% | 2020-11-05 | Won |
| 1002 | 1151 | 30% | 2019-01-01 | Won |
| 998 | 1187 | 25% | 2016-07-13 | Won |
| 917 | 1002 | 38% | 2011-01-14 | Lost |
| 1229 | 1048 | 74% | 2006-07-08 | Lost |
| 1030 | 1048 | 47% | 2006-07-06 | Lost |
| 1058 | 1035 | 53% | 2005-08-06 | Lost |
| 1163 | 987 | 73% | 2005-03-24 | Lost |
Attacking (5 wins) average ELOs: 1041.5 vs 1045.5 has a 49.42% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).