Scotch on the Rocks
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 74 (13 on the archive and 61 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (British): 34
Defender wins (German): 40
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 973 | 968 | 51% | 2025-03-30 | Won |
| 875 | 846 | 54% | 2019-05-28 | Won |
| 1219 | 1094 | 67% | 2018-07-19 | Won |
| 1118 | 876 | 80% | 2018-04-17 | Won |
| 764 | 876 | 34% | 2018-04-17 | Won |
| 889 | 1219 | 13% | 2018-02-16 | Lost |
| 1152 | 1329 | 27% | 2016-12-26 | Lost |
| 613 | 878 | 18% | 2016-09-22 | Lost |
| 1154 | 1065 | 63% | 2014-11-11 | Won |
| 990 | 998 | 49% | 2013-06-15 | Lost |
| 712 | 1152 | 7% | 2001-09-18 | Won |
| 1052 | 1000 | 57% | 1997-08-01 | Won |
| 1115 | 982 | 68% | 1996-09-24 | Lost |
Attacking (8 wins) average ELOs: 971.2 vs 1021.8 has a 42.78% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).