Abandon Ship!
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 190 (19 on the archive and 171 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 92
Defender wins (American): 98
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1040 | 841 | 76% | 2024-07-03 | Lost |
| 1047 | 984 | 59% | 2023-10-24 | Won |
| 1040 | 1088 | 43% | 2023-07-08 | Won |
| 977 | 1009 | 45% | 2020-08-04 | Won |
| 1040 | 876 | 72% | 2018-02-05 | Won |
| 1116 | 1035 | 61% | 2015-10-21 | Lost |
| 1079 | 1213 | 32% | 2014-11-29 | Lost |
| 977 | 1121 | 30% | 2014-04-28 | Lost |
| 1233 | 1155 | 61% | 2011-06-07 | Won |
| 1028 | 946 | 62% | 2010-03-12 | Won |
| 1286 | 1251 | 55% | 2008-02-28 | Lost |
| 1101 | 1095 | 51% | 2006-03-28 | Won |
| 833 | 1159 | 13% | 2003-08-21 | Lost |
| 919 | 1159 | 20% | 1999-07-29 | Lost |
| 807 | 1342 | 4% | 1999-01-15 | Lost |
| 1263 | 1096 | 72% | 1998-05-23 | Won |
| 1095 | 1101 | 49% | 1998-01-29 | Lost |
| 1159 | 1130 | 54% | 1996-10-06 | Lost |
| 866 | 1159 | 16% | 1996-09-23 | Lost |
Attacking (8 wins) average ELOs: 1047.7 vs 1092.6 has a 43.57% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).