Abandon Ship!
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 190 (19 on the archive and 171 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 92
Defender wins (American): 98
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Balance | Outcome |
|---|
| 1056 | 818 | 80% | 2024-07-03 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 985 | 52% | 2023-10-24 | | Won |
| 1062 | 1000 | 59% | 2023-07-08 | | Won |
| 977 | 1009 | 45% | 2020-08-04 | | Won |
| 1062 | 876 | 74% | 2018-02-05 | | Won |
| 1116 | 1035 | 61% | 2015-10-21 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1231 | 21% | 2014-11-29 | | Lost |
| 977 | 1136 | 29% | 2014-04-28 | | Lost |
| 1233 | 1155 | 61% | 2011-06-07 | | Won |
| 1028 | 972 | 58% | 2010-03-12 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1219 | 22% | 2008-02-28 | | Lost |
| 1101 | 1000 | 64% | 2006-03-28 | | Won |
| 832 | 1152 | 14% | 2003-08-21 | | Lost |
| 919 | 1152 | 21% | 1999-07-29 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1343 | 12% | 1999-01-15 | | Lost |
| 1242 | 1000 | 80% | 1998-05-23 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1101 | 36% | 1998-01-29 | | Lost |
| 1167 | 1000 | 72% | 1996-10-06 | | Lost |
| 866 | 1167 | 15% | 1996-09-23 | | Lost |
Attacking (8 wins) average ELOs: 1033.6 vs 1071.1 has a 44.62% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).