The Prelude to Spring
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 87 (11 on the archive and 76 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Russian): 36
Defender wins (German): 50
With balance for the defender (only):
Games played: 1
Attacker wins (Russian): 1
Defender wins (German): 0
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
---|
1088 | 1088 | 50% | 2024-07-07 | Lost |
1063 | 919 | 70% | 2024-01-17 | Won |
1216 | 964 | 81% | 2019-03-10 | Lost |
1011 | 1070 | 42% | 2012-05-28 | Won |
967 | 1100 | 32% | 2012-03-03 | Lost |
1149 | 964 | 74% | 2009-10-18 | Won |
1114 | 1051 | 59% | 2009-02-18 | Lost |
1195 | 919 | 83% | 2009-01-16 | Lost |
1098 | 1096 | 50% | 2007-02-14 | Won |
1025 | 912 | 66% | 2006-09-06 | Won |
1095 | 1138 | 44% | | Lost |
Attacking (5 wins) average ELOs: 1092.8 vs 1020.1 has a 60.32% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).