Prussia in Flames
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 80 (9 on the archive and 71 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Russian): 33
Defender wins (German): 47
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 776 | 1223 | 7% | 2024-09-13 | Lost |
| 990 | 1082 | 37% | 2024-04-14 | Won |
| 944 | 944 | 50% | 2021-03-06 | Won |
| 1087 | 1058 | 54% | 2020-10-29 | Lost |
| 962 | 881 | 61% | 2020-09-20 | Lost |
| 1098 | 1096 | 50% | 2007-02-06 | Won |
| 1096 | 1098 | 50% | 2007-02-06 | Lost |
| 885 | 1098 | 23% | 2007-01-20 | Won |
| 1085 | 1158 | 40% | 2006-10-28 | Won |
Attacking (5 wins) average ELOs: 991.4 vs 1070.9 has a 38.76% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).