Prussia in Flames
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 83 (12 on the archive and 71 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Russian): 35
Defender wins (German): 48
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 780 | 1113 | 13% | 2024-09-13 | Lost |
| 964 | 1019 | 42% | 2024-04-14 | Won |
| 909 | 909 | 50% | 2021-03-06 | Won |
| 1142 | 1035 | 65% | 2020-10-29 | Lost |
| 959 | 880 | 61% | 2020-09-20 | Lost |
| 1140 | 1129 | 52% | 2011-10-07 | Won |
| 1101 | 1095 | 51% | 2007-02-06 | Won |
| 1095 | 1101 | 49% | 2007-02-06 | Lost |
| 902 | 1101 | 24% | 2007-01-20 | Won |
| 1150 | 1000 | 70% | 2007-01-02 | Won |
| 1140 | 1132 | 51% | 2006-11-26 | Lost |
| 1052 | 1215 | 28% | 2006-10-28 | Won |
Attacking (7 wins) average ELOs: 1027.8 vs 1060.8 has a 45.28% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).