Prussia in Flames
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 82 (11 on the archive and 71 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Russian): 34
Defender wins (German): 48
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 780 | 1177 | 9% | 2024-09-13 | Lost |
| 973 | 1085 | 34% | 2024-04-14 | Won |
| 975 | 962 | 52% | 2021-03-06 | Won |
| 1098 | 1011 | 62% | 2020-10-29 | Lost |
| 962 | 881 | 61% | 2020-09-20 | Lost |
| 1138 | 1126 | 52% | 2011-10-07 | Won |
| 1100 | 1095 | 51% | 2007-02-06 | Won |
| 1095 | 1100 | 49% | 2007-02-06 | Lost |
| 929 | 1100 | 27% | 2007-01-20 | Won |
| 1138 | 1129 | 51% | 2006-11-26 | Lost |
| 1051 | 1178 | 32% | 2006-10-28 | Won |
Attacking (6 wins) average ELOs: 1021.7 vs 1076.7 has a 42.15% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).