Prussia in Flames
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 82 (11 on the archive and 71 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Russian): 34
Defender wins (German): 48
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 764 | 1189 | 8% | 2024-09-13 | Lost |
| 998 | 1064 | 41% | 2024-04-14 | Won |
| 977 | 977 | 50% | 2021-03-06 | Won |
| 1099 | 1048 | 57% | 2020-10-29 | Lost |
| 962 | 881 | 61% | 2020-09-20 | Lost |
| 1152 | 1127 | 54% | 2011-10-07 | Won |
| 1100 | 1096 | 51% | 2007-02-06 | Won |
| 1096 | 1100 | 49% | 2007-02-06 | Lost |
| 882 | 1100 | 22% | 2007-01-20 | Won |
| 1152 | 1131 | 53% | 2006-11-26 | Lost |
| 1069 | 1158 | 37% | 2006-10-28 | Won |
Attacking (6 wins) average ELOs: 1022.8 vs 1079.2 has a 41.96% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).