Dash for Mt. Croce
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 50 (15 on the archive and 35 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (American): 23
Defender wins (German): 27
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1029 | 1033 | 49% | 2026-05-09 | Won |
| 1099 | 1014 | 62% | 2024-06-28 | Lost |
| 1042 | 967 | 61% | 2023-11-16 | Won |
| 1139 | 1139 | 50% | 2023-10-22 | Won |
| 1042 | 989 | 58% | 2021-11-11 | Won |
| 1178 | 901 | 83% | 2021-06-20 | Won |
| 953 | 1066 | 34% | 2021-01-30 | Won |
| 1139 | 916 | 78% | 2020-03-18 | Won |
| 1018 | 893 | 67% | 2016-03-22 | Lost |
| 1120 | 1056 | 59% | 2006-12-07 | Won |
| 1118 | 1086 | 55% | 2006-11-26 | Won |
| 987 | 1034 | 43% | 2006-07-29 | Lost |
| 1204 | 1036 | 72% | 2006-04-21 | Lost |
| 1071 | 1212 | 31% | 2006-04-08 | Lost |
| 1071 | 1071 | 50% | 2005-04-11 | Lost |
Attacking (9 wins) average ELOs: 1080.7 vs 1027.5 has a 57.59% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).