Dash for Mt. Croce
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 15
Attacker wins (American): 9
Defender wins (German): 6
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Balance | Outcome |
|---|
| 1056 | 1000 | 58% | 2026-05-09 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1023 | 47% | 2024-06-28 | | Lost |
| 1044 | 967 | 61% | 2023-11-16 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1138 | 31% | 2023-10-22 | | Won |
| 1042 | 989 | 58% | 2021-11-11 | | Won |
| 974 | 1070 | 37% | 2021-06-20 | | Won |
| 953 | 1077 | 33% | 2021-01-30 | | Won |
| 1138 | 916 | 78% | 2020-03-18 | | Won |
| 1024 | 893 | 68% | 2016-03-22 | | Lost |
| 1120 | 1056 | 59% | 2006-12-07 | | Won |
| 1127 | 1000 | 68% | 2006-11-26 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1034 | 45% | 2006-07-29 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1036 | 45% | 2006-04-21 | | Lost |
| 1031 | 1219 | 25% | 2006-04-08 | | Lost |
| 1031 | 1000 | 54% | 2005-04-11 | | Lost |
Attacking (9 wins) average ELOs: 1036 vs 1027.9 has a 51.17% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).