Dash for Mt. Croce
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 49 (14 on the archive and 35 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (American): 22
Defender wins (German): 27
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1099 | 1063 | 55% | 2024-06-28 | Lost |
| 1098 | 985 | 66% | 2023-11-16 | Won |
| 1152 | 1152 | 50% | 2023-10-22 | Won |
| 1060 | 988 | 60% | 2021-11-11 | Won |
| 988 | 1066 | 39% | 2021-06-20 | Won |
| 1004 | 1102 | 36% | 2021-01-30 | Won |
| 1152 | 916 | 80% | 2020-03-18 | Won |
| 1052 | 889 | 72% | 2016-03-22 | Lost |
| 1107 | 1039 | 60% | 2006-12-07 | Won |
| 1117 | 1085 | 55% | 2006-11-26 | Won |
| 987 | 1025 | 45% | 2006-07-29 | Lost |
| 1204 | 1041 | 72% | 2006-04-21 | Lost |
| 985 | 1177 | 25% | 2006-04-08 | Lost |
| 985 | 919 | 59% | 2005-04-11 | Lost |
Attacking (8 wins) average ELOs: 1070.7 vs 1031.9 has a 55.56% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).