The Fields of Black Gold
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 16
Attacker wins (German (SS)): 5
Defender wins (Russian): 11
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1102 | 896 | 77% | 2024-02-27 | Lost |
| 1329 | 1096 | 79% | 2023-11-09 | Lost |
| 1320 | 973 | 88% | 2021-03-28 | Won |
| 1163 | 974 | 75% | 2020-11-20 | Won |
| 983 | 1060 | 39% | 2018-10-03 | Won |
| 1162 | 1220 | 42% | 2018-09-17 | Won |
| 1027 | 1037 | 49% | 2016-01-24 | Lost |
| 1060 | 998 | 59% | 2012-03-31 | Lost |
| 1064 | 1208 | 30% | 2009-01-06 | Lost |
| 1041 | 1044 | 50% | 2008-01-12 | Lost |
| 950 | 994 | 44% | 2007-08-04 | Lost |
| 1034 | 1057 | 47% | 2007-07-24 | Lost |
| 1152 | 1114 | 55% | 2007-05-05 | Lost |
| 898 | 1039 | 31% | 2007-03-17 | Lost |
| 996 | 1413 | 8% | 2007-02-02 | Lost |
| 1115 | 1104 | 52% | 2007-01-06 | Won |
Attacking (5 wins) average ELOs: 1087.3 vs 1076.7 has a 51.52% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).