Road Kill
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 91 (21 on the archive and 70 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (American): 45
Defender wins (German): 44
With balance for the attacker (only):
Games played: 1
Attacker wins (American): 1
Defender wins (German): 0
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1145 | 1161 | 48% | 2025-01-15 | Won |
| 947 | 947 | 50% | 2024-06-03 | Won |
| 968 | 1117 | 30% | 2022-09-04 | Won |
| 945 | 993 | 43% | 2022-07-15 | Lost |
| 1151 | 1172 | 47% | 2022-03-17 | Lost |
| 1151 | 1113 | 55% | 2022-03-17 | Lost |
| 998 | 998 | 50% | 2021-11-20 | Tied |
| 1013 | 1143 | 32% | 2021-11-20 | Lost |
| 1052 | 1052 | 50% | 2020-05-11 | Won |
| 953 | 1126 | 27% | 2018-05-11 | Lost |
| 1002 | 892 | 65% | 2018-03-16 | Won |
| 957 | 1236 | 17% | 2018-03-16 | Lost |
| 982 | 940 | 56% | 2017-02-28 | Won |
| 1231 | 1051 | 74% | 2017-01-31 | Won |
| 968 | 1060 | 37% | 2014-10-10 | Lost |
| 1039 | 1238 | 24% | 2014-07-27 | Lost |
| 934 | 1052 | 34% | 2011-03-06 | Lost |
| 905 | 903 | 50% | 2009-10-14 | Won |
| 1230 | 1070 | 72% | 2009-04-28 | Won |
| 1013 | 1011 | 50% | 2009-01-01 | Won |
| 952 | 1107 | 29% | 2008-11-30 | Lost |
Attacking (10 wins) average ELOs: 1025.5 vs 1065.8 has a 44.23% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).