Road Kill
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 91 (21 on the archive and 70 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (American): 45
Defender wins (German): 44
With balance for the attacker (only):
Games played: 1
Attacker wins (American): 1
Defender wins (German): 0
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1171 | 1137 | 55% | 2025-01-15 | Won |
| 940 | 940 | 50% | 2024-06-03 | Won |
| 968 | 1117 | 30% | 2022-09-04 | Won |
| 1051 | 1001 | 57% | 2022-07-15 | Lost |
| 1098 | 1191 | 37% | 2022-03-17 | Lost |
| 1098 | 1187 | 37% | 2022-03-17 | Lost |
| 1023 | 1014 | 51% | 2021-11-20 | Tied |
| 805 | 1118 | 14% | 2021-11-20 | Lost |
| 1037 | 1040 | 50% | 2020-05-11 | Won |
| 1040 | 1031 | 51% | 2018-05-11 | Lost |
| 996 | 892 | 65% | 2018-03-16 | Won |
| 959 | 1143 | 26% | 2018-03-16 | Lost |
| 982 | 941 | 56% | 2017-02-28 | Won |
| 1333 | 1068 | 82% | 2017-01-31 | Won |
| 968 | 1059 | 37% | 2014-10-10 | Lost |
| 1040 | 1217 | 27% | 2014-07-27 | Lost |
| 919 | 1060 | 31% | 2011-03-06 | Lost |
| 903 | 901 | 50% | 2009-10-14 | Won |
| 1236 | 1048 | 75% | 2009-04-28 | Won |
| 805 | 964 | 29% | 2009-01-01 | Won |
| 1012 | 1084 | 40% | 2008-11-30 | Lost |
Attacking (10 wins) average ELOs: 1018.3 vs 1054.9 has a 44.75% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).