Road Kill
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 91 (21 on the archive and 70 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (American): 45
Defender wins (German): 44
With balance for the attacker (only):
Games played: 1
Attacker wins (American): 1
Defender wins (German): 0
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1149 | 1137 | 52% | 2025-01-15 | Won |
| 903 | 903 | 50% | 2024-06-03 | Won |
| 984 | 1111 | 32% | 2022-09-04 | Won |
| 1089 | 1009 | 61% | 2022-07-15 | Lost |
| 1100 | 1248 | 30% | 2022-03-17 | Lost |
| 1100 | 1154 | 42% | 2022-03-17 | Lost |
| 928 | 956 | 46% | 2021-11-20 | Tied |
| 979 | 1132 | 29% | 2021-11-20 | Lost |
| 1046 | 1027 | 53% | 2020-05-11 | Won |
| 1084 | 950 | 68% | 2018-05-11 | Lost |
| 959 | 1141 | 26% | 2018-03-16 | Lost |
| 1015 | 892 | 67% | 2018-03-16 | Won |
| 986 | 856 | 68% | 2017-02-28 | Won |
| 1336 | 1068 | 82% | 2017-01-31 | Won |
| 984 | 1058 | 40% | 2014-10-10 | Lost |
| 1039 | 1264 | 21% | 2014-07-27 | Lost |
| 879 | 1140 | 18% | 2011-03-06 | Lost |
| 901 | 900 | 50% | 2009-10-14 | Won |
| 1181 | 1022 | 71% | 2009-04-28 | Won |
| 979 | 949 | 54% | 2009-01-01 | Won |
| 1094 | 1031 | 59% | 2008-11-30 | Lost |
Attacking (10 wins) average ELOs: 1034 vs 1045.1 has a 48.4% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).