Road Kill
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 91 (21 on the archive and 70 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (American): 44
Defender wins (German): 44
With balance for the attacker (only):
Games played: 1
Attacker wins (American): 1
Defender wins (German): 0
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1099 | 1122 | 47% | 2025-01-15 | Tied |
| 909 | 920 | 48% | 2024-06-03 | Won |
| 984 | 1099 | 34% | 2022-09-04 | Won |
| 1079 | 1008 | 60% | 2022-07-15 | Lost |
| 1088 | 1135 | 43% | 2022-03-17 | Lost |
| 1088 | 1196 | 35% | 2022-03-17 | Lost |
| 910 | 934 | 47% | 2021-11-20 | Tied |
| 1038 | 1204 | 28% | 2021-11-20 | Lost |
| 1054 | 1053 | 50% | 2020-05-11 | Won |
| 946 | 1036 | 37% | 2018-05-11 | Lost |
| 958 | 1198 | 20% | 2018-03-16 | Lost |
| 1068 | 892 | 73% | 2018-03-16 | Won |
| 986 | 906 | 61% | 2017-02-28 | Won |
| 1296 | 1067 | 79% | 2017-01-31 | Won |
| 984 | 1057 | 40% | 2014-10-10 | Lost |
| 1058 | 1311 | 19% | 2014-07-27 | Lost |
| 955 | 1049 | 37% | 2011-03-06 | Lost |
| 901 | 900 | 50% | 2009-10-14 | Won |
| 1197 | 982 | 78% | 2009-04-28 | Won |
| 1038 | 929 | 65% | 2009-01-01 | Won |
| 1128 | 1022 | 65% | 2008-11-30 | Lost |
Attacking (9 wins) average ELOs: 1036.4 vs 1048.6 has a 48.25% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).