Road Kill
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 91 (21 on the archive and 70 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (American): 45
Defender wins (German): 44
With balance for the attacker (only):
Games played: 1
Attacker wins (American): 1
Defender wins (German): 0
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1149 | 1137 | 52% | 2025-01-15 | Won |
| 906 | 893 | 52% | 2024-06-03 | Won |
| 984 | 1111 | 32% | 2022-09-04 | Won |
| 1080 | 1009 | 60% | 2022-07-15 | Lost |
| 1100 | 1241 | 31% | 2022-03-17 | Lost |
| 1100 | 1162 | 41% | 2022-03-17 | Lost |
| 928 | 970 | 44% | 2021-11-20 | Tied |
| 1141 | 1132 | 51% | 2021-11-20 | Lost |
| 1055 | 1059 | 49% | 2020-05-11 | Won |
| 1084 | 950 | 68% | 2018-05-11 | Lost |
| 959 | 1141 | 26% | 2018-03-16 | Lost |
| 973 | 892 | 61% | 2018-03-16 | Won |
| 986 | 856 | 68% | 2017-02-28 | Won |
| 1310 | 1068 | 80% | 2017-01-31 | Won |
| 984 | 1058 | 40% | 2014-10-10 | Lost |
| 1039 | 1264 | 21% | 2014-07-27 | Lost |
| 876 | 1125 | 19% | 2011-03-06 | Lost |
| 901 | 900 | 50% | 2009-10-14 | Won |
| 1189 | 1003 | 74% | 2009-04-28 | Won |
| 1141 | 949 | 75% | 2009-01-01 | Won |
| 1076 | 1073 | 50% | 2008-11-30 | Lost |
Attacking (10 wins) average ELOs: 1045.8 vs 1047.3 has a 49.78% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).