Road Kill
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 91 (21 on the archive and 70 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (American): 45
Defender wins (German): 44
With balance for the attacker (only):
Games played: 1
Attacker wins (American): 1
Defender wins (German): 0
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1156 | 1137 | 53% | 2025-01-15 | Won |
| 909 | 886 | 53% | 2024-06-03 | Won |
| 969 | 1117 | 30% | 2022-09-04 | Won |
| 1052 | 1001 | 57% | 2022-07-15 | Lost |
| 1099 | 1163 | 41% | 2022-03-17 | Lost |
| 1099 | 1189 | 37% | 2022-03-17 | Lost |
| 1030 | 1044 | 48% | 2021-11-20 | Tied |
| 764 | 1143 | 10% | 2021-11-20 | Lost |
| 1032 | 1035 | 50% | 2020-05-11 | Won |
| 1048 | 995 | 58% | 2018-05-11 | Lost |
| 1020 | 892 | 68% | 2018-03-16 | Won |
| 960 | 1154 | 25% | 2018-03-16 | Lost |
| 986 | 870 | 66% | 2017-02-28 | Won |
| 1329 | 1068 | 82% | 2017-01-31 | Won |
| 969 | 1057 | 38% | 2014-10-10 | Lost |
| 1040 | 1242 | 24% | 2014-07-27 | Lost |
| 877 | 1118 | 20% | 2011-03-06 | Lost |
| 903 | 901 | 50% | 2009-10-14 | Won |
| 1158 | 994 | 72% | 2009-04-28 | Won |
| 764 | 964 | 24% | 2009-01-01 | Won |
| 1041 | 1044 | 50% | 2008-11-30 | Lost |
Attacking (10 wins) average ELOs: 1009.8 vs 1048.3 has a 44.48% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).