Road Kill
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 91 (21 on the archive and 70 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (American): 45
Defender wins (German): 44
With balance for the attacker (only):
Games played: 1
Attacker wins (American): 1
Defender wins (German): 0
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1148 | 1137 | 52% | 2025-01-15 | Won |
| 951 | 951 | 50% | 2024-06-03 | Won |
| 969 | 1117 | 30% | 2022-09-04 | Won |
| 1051 | 1001 | 57% | 2022-07-15 | Lost |
| 1099 | 1163 | 41% | 2022-03-17 | Lost |
| 1099 | 1189 | 37% | 2022-03-17 | Lost |
| 1029 | 1043 | 48% | 2021-11-20 | Tied |
| 1058 | 1131 | 40% | 2021-11-20 | Lost |
| 1029 | 1035 | 49% | 2020-05-11 | Won |
| 1084 | 982 | 64% | 2018-05-11 | Lost |
| 1036 | 892 | 70% | 2018-03-16 | Won |
| 960 | 1152 | 25% | 2018-03-16 | Lost |
| 986 | 890 | 63% | 2017-02-28 | Won |
| 1333 | 1068 | 82% | 2017-01-31 | Won |
| 969 | 1057 | 38% | 2014-10-10 | Lost |
| 1040 | 1207 | 28% | 2014-07-27 | Lost |
| 922 | 1070 | 30% | 2011-03-06 | Lost |
| 903 | 901 | 50% | 2009-10-14 | Won |
| 1141 | 999 | 69% | 2009-04-28 | Won |
| 1058 | 964 | 63% | 2009-01-01 | Won |
| 1041 | 1075 | 45% | 2008-11-30 | Lost |
Attacking (10 wins) average ELOs: 1043.1 vs 1048.8 has a 49.19% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).