Road Kill
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 91 (21 on the archive and 70 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (American): 45
Defender wins (German): 44
With balance for the attacker (only):
Games played: 1
Attacker wins (American): 1
Defender wins (German): 0
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1111 | 1106 | 51% | 2025-01-15 | Won |
| 891 | 928 | 45% | 2024-06-03 | Won |
| 984 | 1099 | 34% | 2022-09-04 | Won |
| 1050 | 1008 | 56% | 2022-07-15 | Lost |
| 1108 | 1208 | 36% | 2022-03-17 | Lost |
| 1108 | 1160 | 43% | 2022-03-17 | Lost |
| 928 | 938 | 49% | 2021-11-20 | Tied |
| 1042 | 1203 | 28% | 2021-11-20 | Lost |
| 1046 | 1037 | 51% | 2020-05-11 | Won |
| 1018 | 984 | 55% | 2018-05-11 | Lost |
| 958 | 1143 | 26% | 2018-03-16 | Lost |
| 1033 | 892 | 69% | 2018-03-16 | Won |
| 986 | 872 | 66% | 2017-02-28 | Won |
| 1309 | 1068 | 80% | 2017-01-31 | Won |
| 984 | 1058 | 40% | 2014-10-10 | Lost |
| 1040 | 1266 | 21% | 2014-07-27 | Lost |
| 911 | 1088 | 27% | 2011-03-06 | Lost |
| 901 | 900 | 50% | 2009-10-14 | Won |
| 1183 | 975 | 77% | 2009-04-28 | Won |
| 1042 | 949 | 63% | 2009-01-01 | Won |
| 1137 | 1009 | 68% | 2008-11-30 | Lost |
Attacking (10 wins) average ELOs: 1036.7 vs 1042.4 has a 49.17% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).