Városmajor Grange
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 112 (26 on the archive and 86 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Hungarian (Vannay)/Hungarian): 53
Defender wins (Russian): 59
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 900 | 1243 | 12% | 2023-07-30 | Lost |
| 1030 | 1041 | 48% | 2023-07-29 | Lost |
| 1063 | 1063 | 50% | 2023-01-10 | Won |
| 1086 | 940 | 70% | 2022-12-10 | Lost |
| 1120 | 997 | 67% | 2022-11-28 | Won |
| 1243 | 1125 | 66% | 2021-06-20 | Won |
| 1243 | 1076 | 72% | 2021-06-20 | Won |
| 1079 | 977 | 64% | 2020-10-29 | Lost |
| 1130 | 1146 | 48% | 2020-06-30 | Won |
| 1146 | 928 | 78% | 2020-05-15 | Won |
| 992 | 1046 | 42% | 2020-05-15 | Lost |
| 1000 | 1046 | 43% | 2020-05-06 | Won |
| 1009 | 933 | 61% | 2020-04-30 | Won |
| 1026 | 1119 | 37% | 2020-04-26 | Lost |
| 956 | 1039 | 38% | 2018-06-25 | Lost |
| 1220 | 1041 | 74% | 2017-02-10 | Won |
| 907 | 969 | 41% | 2016-10-16 | Lost |
| 982 | 876 | 65% | 2016-10-04 | Lost |
| 917 | 985 | 40% | 2012-11-25 | Won |
| 982 | 1035 | 42% | 2008-07-08 | Lost |
| 1030 | 1031 | 50% | 2007-06-11 | Won |
| 1060 | 1076 | 48% | 2007-04-15 | Won |
| 953 | 1174 | 22% | 2007-04-10 | Lost |
| 1101 | 1095 | 51% | 2007-03-29 | Won |
| 1095 | 1101 | 49% | 2007-03-29 | Lost |
| 1017 | 1095 | 39% | | Lost |
Attacking (13 wins) average ELOs: 1049.5 vs 1046 has a 50.5% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).