Városmajor Grange
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 109 (24 on the archive and 85 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Hungarian (Vannay)/Hungarian): 52
Defender wins (Russian): 57
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 924 | 1170 | 20% | 2023-07-30 | Lost |
| 1016 | 1002 | 52% | 2023-07-29 | Lost |
| 1055 | 1059 | 49% | 2023-01-10 | Won |
| 980 | 848 | 68% | 2022-12-10 | Lost |
| 1074 | 971 | 64% | 2022-11-28 | Won |
| 1170 | 1164 | 51% | 2021-06-20 | Won |
| 1170 | 1202 | 45% | 2021-06-20 | Won |
| 1193 | 938 | 81% | 2020-10-29 | Lost |
| 1164 | 1060 | 65% | 2020-06-30 | Won |
| 1060 | 931 | 68% | 2020-05-15 | Won |
| 1015 | 1075 | 41% | 2020-05-15 | Lost |
| 1000 | 1075 | 39% | 2020-05-06 | Won |
| 1008 | 896 | 66% | 2020-04-30 | Won |
| 998 | 1040 | 44% | 2018-06-25 | Lost |
| 1252 | 1092 | 72% | 2017-02-10 | Won |
| 905 | 1023 | 34% | 2016-10-16 | Lost |
| 982 | 875 | 65% | 2016-10-04 | Lost |
| 917 | 986 | 40% | 2012-11-25 | Won |
| 960 | 1029 | 40% | 2008-07-08 | Lost |
| 1133 | 1031 | 64% | 2007-06-11 | Won |
| 959 | 1189 | 21% | 2007-04-10 | Lost |
| 1100 | 1096 | 51% | 2007-03-29 | Won |
| 1096 | 1100 | 49% | 2007-03-29 | Lost |
| 1030 | 1079 | 43% | | Lost |
Attacking (12 wins) average ELOs: 1048.4 vs 1038.8 has a 51.38% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).