Városmajor Grange
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 111 (25 on the archive and 86 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Hungarian (Vannay)/Hungarian): 53
Defender wins (Russian): 58
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 897 | 1141 | 20% | 2023-07-30 | Lost |
| 1008 | 1024 | 48% | 2023-07-29 | Lost |
| 1040 | 1040 | 50% | 2023-01-10 | Won |
| 979 | 908 | 60% | 2022-12-10 | Lost |
| 1074 | 1044 | 54% | 2022-11-28 | Won |
| 1141 | 1192 | 43% | 2021-06-20 | Won |
| 1141 | 1152 | 48% | 2021-06-20 | Won |
| 1183 | 954 | 79% | 2020-10-29 | Lost |
| 1162 | 1065 | 64% | 2020-06-30 | Won |
| 1065 | 931 | 68% | 2020-05-15 | Won |
| 1015 | 1051 | 45% | 2020-05-15 | Lost |
| 1000 | 1051 | 43% | 2020-05-06 | Won |
| 1008 | 974 | 55% | 2020-04-30 | Won |
| 927 | 1040 | 34% | 2018-06-25 | Lost |
| 1256 | 1092 | 72% | 2017-02-10 | Won |
| 907 | 997 | 37% | 2016-10-16 | Lost |
| 982 | 876 | 65% | 2016-10-04 | Lost |
| 917 | 986 | 40% | 2012-11-25 | Won |
| 982 | 1035 | 42% | 2008-07-08 | Lost |
| 1112 | 1031 | 61% | 2007-06-11 | Won |
| 1014 | 1072 | 42% | 2007-04-15 | Won |
| 956 | 1196 | 20% | 2007-04-10 | Lost |
| 1100 | 1095 | 51% | 2007-03-29 | Won |
| 1095 | 1100 | 49% | 2007-03-29 | Lost |
| 1030 | 1104 | 40% | | Lost |
Attacking (13 wins) average ELOs: 1039.6 vs 1046 has a 49.08% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).