Városmajor Grange
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 112 (26 on the archive and 86 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Hungarian (Vannay)/Hungarian): 53
Defender wins (Russian): 59
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 900 | 1208 | 15% | 2023-07-30 | Lost |
| 1030 | 941 | 63% | 2023-07-29 | Lost |
| 1043 | 1049 | 49% | 2023-01-10 | Won |
| 980 | 940 | 56% | 2022-12-10 | Lost |
| 1099 | 999 | 64% | 2022-11-28 | Won |
| 1208 | 1187 | 53% | 2021-06-20 | Won |
| 1208 | 1170 | 55% | 2021-06-20 | Won |
| 1063 | 1009 | 58% | 2020-10-29 | Lost |
| 1130 | 1135 | 49% | 2020-06-30 | Won |
| 1135 | 928 | 77% | 2020-05-15 | Won |
| 1006 | 974 | 55% | 2020-05-15 | Lost |
| 1000 | 974 | 54% | 2020-05-06 | Won |
| 1009 | 988 | 53% | 2020-04-30 | Won |
| 1026 | 1100 | 40% | 2020-04-26 | Lost |
| 884 | 1039 | 29% | 2018-06-25 | Lost |
| 1220 | 930 | 84% | 2017-02-10 | Won |
| 908 | 984 | 39% | 2016-10-16 | Lost |
| 982 | 876 | 65% | 2016-10-04 | Lost |
| 917 | 985 | 40% | 2012-11-25 | Won |
| 982 | 1035 | 42% | 2008-07-08 | Lost |
| 967 | 1031 | 41% | 2007-06-11 | Won |
| 1062 | 1076 | 48% | 2007-04-15 | Won |
| 953 | 1182 | 21% | 2007-04-10 | Lost |
| 1101 | 1095 | 51% | 2007-03-29 | Won |
| 1095 | 1101 | 49% | 2007-03-29 | Lost |
| 1018 | 1036 | 47% | | Lost |
Attacking (13 wins) average ELOs: 1035.6 vs 1037.4 has a 49.75% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).