Városmajor Grange
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 112 (26 on the archive and 86 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Hungarian (Vannay)/Hungarian): 53
Defender wins (Russian): 59
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Balance | Outcome |
|---|
| 901 | 1196 | 15% | 2023-07-30 | | Lost |
| 1021 | 1156 | 31% | 2023-07-29 | | Lost |
| 1082 | 1000 | 62% | 2023-01-10 | | Won |
| 1000 | 940 | 59% | 2022-12-10 | | Lost |
| 1120 | 976 | 70% | 2022-11-28 | | Won |
| 1196 | 1127 | 60% | 2021-06-20 | | Won |
| 1196 | 1125 | 60% | 2021-06-20 | | Won |
| 1075 | 987 | 62% | 2020-10-29 | | Lost |
| 1130 | 1147 | 48% | 2020-06-30 | | Won |
| 1147 | 1000 | 70% | 2020-05-15 | | Won |
| 992 | 1055 | 41% | 2020-05-15 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1055 | 42% | 2020-05-06 | | Won |
| 1009 | 950 | 58% | 2020-04-30 | | Won |
| 1040 | 1120 | 39% | 2020-04-26 | | Lost |
| 966 | 1039 | 40% | 2018-06-25 | | Lost |
| 1217 | 1000 | 78% | 2017-02-10 | | Won |
| 1000 | 969 | 54% | 2016-10-16 | | Lost |
| 983 | 1000 | 48% | 2016-10-04 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 985 | 52% | 2012-11-25 | | Won |
| 982 | 1035 | 42% | 2008-07-08 | | Lost |
| 1037 | 1000 | 55% | 2007-06-11 | | Won |
| 1061 | 1000 | 59% | 2007-04-15 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1192 | 25% | 2007-04-10 | | Lost |
| 1101 | 1000 | 64% | 2007-03-29 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1101 | 36% | 2007-03-29 | | Lost |
| 1018 | 1086 | 40% | | | Lost |
Attacking (13 wins) average ELOs: 1049 vs 1047.7 has a 50.18% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).