Városmajor Grange
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 111 (25 on the archive and 86 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Hungarian (Vannay)/Hungarian): 53
Defender wins (Russian): 58
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 888 | 1200 | 14% | 2023-07-30 | Lost |
| 1028 | 1023 | 51% | 2023-07-29 | Lost |
| 1049 | 1049 | 50% | 2023-01-10 | Won |
| 979 | 941 | 55% | 2022-12-10 | Lost |
| 1087 | 983 | 65% | 2022-11-28 | Won |
| 1200 | 1191 | 51% | 2021-06-20 | Won |
| 1200 | 1177 | 53% | 2021-06-20 | Won |
| 1079 | 975 | 65% | 2020-10-29 | Lost |
| 1126 | 1098 | 54% | 2020-06-30 | Won |
| 1098 | 931 | 72% | 2020-05-15 | Won |
| 1006 | 1024 | 47% | 2020-05-15 | Lost |
| 1000 | 1024 | 47% | 2020-05-06 | Won |
| 1009 | 1000 | 51% | 2020-04-30 | Won |
| 928 | 1039 | 35% | 2018-06-25 | Lost |
| 1256 | 991 | 82% | 2017-02-10 | Won |
| 906 | 965 | 42% | 2016-10-16 | Lost |
| 981 | 876 | 65% | 2016-10-04 | Lost |
| 917 | 986 | 40% | 2012-11-25 | Won |
| 982 | 1036 | 42% | 2008-07-08 | Lost |
| 1089 | 1031 | 58% | 2007-06-11 | Won |
| 1073 | 1078 | 49% | 2007-04-15 | Won |
| 955 | 1248 | 16% | 2007-04-10 | Lost |
| 1101 | 1095 | 51% | 2007-03-29 | Won |
| 1095 | 1101 | 49% | 2007-03-29 | Lost |
| 1018 | 1032 | 48% | | Lost |
Attacking (13 wins) average ELOs: 1042 vs 1043.8 has a 49.75% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).