Transylvania 6-5000
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 153 (36 on the archive and 117 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Hungarian): 79
Defender wins (Russian): 74
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1046 | 1046 | 50% | 2025-11-28 | Lost |
| 1224 | 1162 | 59% | 2025-11-10 | Lost |
| 893 | 1045 | 29% | 2025-11-07 | Lost |
| 1140 | 1017 | 67% | 2025-11-07 | Won |
| 1140 | 727 | 92% | 2025-09-12 | Won |
| 1197 | 1224 | 46% | 2025-07-01 | Lost |
| 930 | 1110 | 26% | 2025-05-20 | Lost |
| 1045 | 1203 | 29% | 2024-11-11 | Lost |
| 993 | 976 | 52% | 2024-06-10 | Won |
| 1022 | 1060 | 45% | 2024-06-10 | Won |
| 1019 | 1092 | 40% | 2023-12-09 | Won |
| 963 | 1042 | 39% | 2023-10-26 | Lost |
| 1177 | 1148 | 54% | 2022-06-17 | Won |
| 1222 | 1015 | 77% | 2021-07-10 | Won |
| 989 | 890 | 64% | 2020-11-14 | Lost |
| 1073 | 1131 | 42% | 2019-10-08 | Won |
| 941 | 999 | 42% | 2019-08-10 | Lost |
| 1014 | 1054 | 44% | 2019-04-30 | Lost |
| 1054 | 1014 | 56% | 2019-04-22 | Won |
| 938 | 1056 | 34% | 2017-11-04 | Won |
| 1038 | 969 | 60% | 2015-06-25 | Lost |
| 959 | 1006 | 43% | 2015-04-25 | Lost |
| 1226 | 999 | 79% | 2014-11-07 | Won |
| 985 | 1148 | 28% | 2012-10-27 | Won |
| 1130 | 1117 | 52% | 2011-01-27 | Won |
| 1032 | 1427 | 9% | 2010-07-15 | Lost |
| 1006 | 981 | 54% | 2009-11-07 | Lost |
| 1122 | 1140 | 47% | 2008-11-07 | Lost |
| 1232 | 937 | 85% | 2007-05-12 | Won |
| 1095 | 1101 | 49% | 2007-04-10 | Lost |
| 1095 | 1101 | 49% | 2007-04-03 | Lost |
| 1062 | 938 | 67% | 2007-03-28 | Won |
| 985 | 958 | 54% | 2007-02-01 | Won |
| 982 | 1036 | 42% | 2006-11-29 | Lost |
| 1061 | 955 | 65% | 2006-11-24 | Won |
| 1140 | 727 | 92% | 2006-10-26 | Won |
Attacking (18 wins) average ELOs: 1060.3 vs 1043.1 has a 52.47% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).