Transylvania 6-5000
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 156 (39 on the archive and 117 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Hungarian): 81
Defender wins (Russian): 75
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1046 | 1046 | 50% | 2025-11-28 | Lost |
| 1212 | 1162 | 57% | 2025-11-10 | Lost |
| 884 | 1061 | 27% | 2025-11-07 | Lost |
| 1141 | 1018 | 67% | 2025-11-07 | Won |
| 1141 | 753 | 90% | 2025-09-12 | Won |
| 1186 | 1212 | 46% | 2025-07-01 | Lost |
| 930 | 1121 | 25% | 2025-05-20 | Lost |
| 1045 | 1220 | 27% | 2024-11-11 | Lost |
| 1028 | 1012 | 52% | 2024-06-10 | Won |
| 1022 | 1031 | 49% | 2024-06-10 | Won |
| 1035 | 1092 | 42% | 2023-12-09 | Won |
| 964 | 983 | 47% | 2023-10-26 | Lost |
| 1175 | 1149 | 54% | 2022-06-17 | Won |
| 1223 | 996 | 79% | 2021-07-10 | Won |
| 989 | 890 | 64% | 2020-11-14 | Lost |
| 1024 | 1131 | 35% | 2019-10-08 | Won |
| 940 | 999 | 42% | 2019-08-10 | Lost |
| 1014 | 1074 | 41% | 2019-04-30 | Lost |
| 1074 | 1014 | 59% | 2019-04-22 | Won |
| 1002 | 984 | 53% | 2017-11-04 | Won |
| 1038 | 969 | 60% | 2015-06-25 | Lost |
| 959 | 1005 | 43% | 2015-04-25 | Lost |
| 1226 | 999 | 79% | 2014-11-07 | Won |
| 985 | 1149 | 28% | 2012-10-27 | Won |
| 1130 | 1128 | 50% | 2011-01-27 | Won |
| 1155 | 1149 | 51% | 2010-09-10 | Won |
| 1149 | 947 | 76% | 2010-08-18 | Won |
| 1048 | 1430 | 10% | 2010-07-15 | Lost |
| 1005 | 981 | 53% | 2009-11-07 | Lost |
| 1122 | 1141 | 47% | 2008-11-07 | Lost |
| 1223 | 941 | 84% | 2007-05-12 | Won |
| 1095 | 1101 | 49% | 2007-04-10 | Lost |
| 1095 | 1101 | 49% | 2007-04-03 | Lost |
| 1062 | 1002 | 59% | 2007-03-28 | Won |
| 1149 | 1159 | 49% | 2007-02-17 | Lost |
| 1030 | 958 | 60% | 2007-02-01 | Won |
| 982 | 1035 | 42% | 2006-11-29 | Lost |
| 1071 | 953 | 66% | 2006-11-24 | Won |
| 1141 | 753 | 90% | 2006-10-26 | Won |
Attacking (20 wins) average ELOs: 1070.3 vs 1047.4 has a 53.28% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).