Transylvania 6-5000
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 141 (31 on the archive and 110 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Hungarian): 73
Defender wins (Russian): 68
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1105 | 1159 | 42% | 2025-07-01 | Lost |
| 931 | 1162 | 21% | 2025-05-20 | Lost |
| 1046 | 1209 | 28% | 2024-11-11 | Lost |
| 1013 | 1049 | 45% | 2024-06-10 | Won |
| 1030 | 1080 | 43% | 2024-06-10 | Won |
| 969 | 1142 | 27% | 2023-12-09 | Won |
| 997 | 1073 | 39% | 2023-10-26 | Lost |
| 1189 | 1147 | 56% | 2022-06-17 | Won |
| 1125 | 1023 | 64% | 2021-07-10 | Won |
| 989 | 890 | 64% | 2020-11-14 | Lost |
| 1030 | 1153 | 33% | 2019-10-08 | Won |
| 890 | 999 | 35% | 2019-08-10 | Lost |
| 1014 | 1198 | 26% | 2019-04-30 | Lost |
| 1198 | 1014 | 74% | 2019-04-22 | Won |
| 1030 | 957 | 60% | 2017-11-04 | Won |
| 1035 | 969 | 59% | 2015-06-25 | Lost |
| 959 | 987 | 46% | 2015-04-25 | Lost |
| 1226 | 999 | 79% | 2014-11-07 | Won |
| 986 | 1147 | 28% | 2012-10-27 | Won |
| 1162 | 1061 | 64% | 2011-01-27 | Won |
| 1032 | 1416 | 10% | 2010-07-15 | Lost |
| 987 | 981 | 51% | 2009-11-07 | Lost |
| 1118 | 1152 | 45% | 2008-11-07 | Lost |
| 1333 | 944 | 90% | 2007-05-12 | Won |
| 1095 | 1100 | 49% | 2007-04-10 | Lost |
| 1095 | 1100 | 49% | 2007-04-03 | Lost |
| 1062 | 1030 | 55% | 2007-03-28 | Won |
| 906 | 1002 | 37% | 2007-02-01 | Won |
| 982 | 1035 | 42% | 2006-11-29 | Lost |
| 1018 | 958 | 59% | 2006-11-24 | Won |
| 1152 | 713 | 93% | 2006-10-26 | Won |
Attacking (16 wins) average ELOs: 1055 vs 1059.6 has a 49.33% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).