Transylvania 6-5000
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 133 (26 on the archive and 107 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Hungarian): 70
Defender wins (Russian): 63
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
---|
1045 | 1310 | 18% | 2024-11-11 | Lost |
1029 | 1082 | 42% | 2024-06-10 | Won |
993 | 1049 | 42% | 2024-06-10 | Won |
969 | 1130 | 28% | 2023-12-09 | Won |
989 | 1042 | 42% | 2023-10-26 | Lost |
1205 | 1148 | 58% | 2022-06-17 | Won |
1085 | 1084 | 50% | 2021-07-10 | Won |
1011 | 891 | 67% | 2020-11-14 | Lost |
865 | 1195 | 13% | 2019-10-08 | Won |
883 | 999 | 34% | 2019-08-10 | Lost |
1009 | 1195 | 26% | 2019-04-30 | Lost |
1195 | 1009 | 74% | 2019-04-22 | Won |
1009 | 1011 | 50% | 2017-11-04 | Won |
1038 | 984 | 58% | 2015-06-25 | Lost |
959 | 1002 | 44% | 2015-04-25 | Lost |
1223 | 999 | 78% | 2014-11-07 | Won |
987 | 1148 | 28% | 2012-10-27 | Won |
1167 | 1023 | 70% | 2011-01-27 | Won |
1031 | 1405 | 10% | 2010-07-15 | Lost |
1002 | 981 | 53% | 2009-11-07 | Lost |
1302 | 943 | 89% | 2007-05-12 | Won |
1096 | 1098 | 50% | 2007-04-10 | Lost |
1096 | 1098 | 50% | 2007-04-03 | Lost |
1062 | 1009 | 58% | 2007-03-28 | Won |
945 | 1002 | 42% | 2007-02-01 | Won |
959 | 1029 | 40% | 2006-11-29 | Lost |
Attacking (14 wins) average ELOs: 1044.4 vs 1071.8 has a 46.07% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).