ASL Scenario Archive

Transylvania 6-5000

Games with no balance used/recorded: 39

Attacker wins (Hungarian): 20

Defender wins (Russian): 19

Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.

Attacker ELO	Defender ELO	Expected chance to win	Date	Outcome
1000	1028	46%	2025-11-28	Lost
1205	1000	76%	2025-11-10	Lost
965	1078	34%	2025-11-07	Lost
1141	1018	67%	2025-11-07	Won
1141	767	90%	2025-09-12	Won
1181	1205	47%	2025-07-01	Lost
931	1126	25%	2025-05-20	Lost
1045	1240	25%	2024-11-11	Lost
977	1000	47%	2024-06-10	Won
1000	1029	46%	2024-06-10	Won
1035	1092	42%	2023-12-09	Won
944	1023	39%	2023-10-26	Lost
1140	1000	69%	2022-06-17	Won
1000	969	54%	2021-07-10	Won
989	1000	48%	2020-11-14	Lost
1000	1099	36%	2019-10-08	Won
940	999	42%	2019-08-10	Lost
1000	1075	39%	2019-04-30	Lost
1075	1000	61%	2019-04-22	Won
1156	952	76%	2017-11-04	Won
1038	959	61%	2015-06-25	Lost
959	1009	43%	2015-04-25	Lost
1226	999	79%	2014-11-07	Won
985	1000	48%	2012-10-27	Won
1130	1146	48%	2011-01-27	Won
1155	1151	51%	2010-09-10	Won
1151	1000	70%	2010-08-18	Won
1048	1435	10%	2010-07-15	Lost
1009	981	54%	2009-11-07	Lost
1000	1141	31%	2008-11-07	Lost
1219	941	83%	2007-05-12	Won
1000	1101	36%	2007-04-10	Lost
1000	1101	36%	2007-04-03	Lost
1062	1156	37%	2007-03-28	Won
1151	1000	70%	2007-02-17	Lost
1011	1000	52%	2007-02-01	Won
982	1035	42%	2006-11-29	Lost
1060	1000	59%	2006-11-24	Won
1141	767	90%	2006-10-26	Won

Attacking (20 wins) average ELOs: 1056.2 vs 1041.6 has a 52.1% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).