Transylvania 6-5000
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 156 (39 on the archive and 117 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Hungarian): 81
Defender wins (Russian): 75
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1046 | 1046 | 50% | 2025-11-28 | Lost |
| 1225 | 1161 | 59% | 2025-11-10 | Lost |
| 942 | 1077 | 31% | 2025-11-07 | Lost |
| 1140 | 1017 | 67% | 2025-11-07 | Won |
| 1140 | 753 | 90% | 2025-09-12 | Won |
| 1217 | 1225 | 49% | 2025-07-01 | Lost |
| 930 | 1126 | 24% | 2025-05-20 | Lost |
| 1045 | 1245 | 24% | 2024-11-11 | Lost |
| 977 | 977 | 50% | 2024-06-10 | Won |
| 1022 | 1070 | 43% | 2024-06-10 | Won |
| 1035 | 1092 | 42% | 2023-12-09 | Won |
| 958 | 1006 | 43% | 2023-10-26 | Lost |
| 1055 | 1149 | 37% | 2022-06-17 | Won |
| 1223 | 980 | 80% | 2021-07-10 | Won |
| 989 | 890 | 64% | 2020-11-14 | Lost |
| 1125 | 1143 | 47% | 2019-10-08 | Won |
| 940 | 999 | 42% | 2019-08-10 | Lost |
| 1014 | 1069 | 42% | 2019-04-30 | Lost |
| 1069 | 1014 | 58% | 2019-04-22 | Won |
| 1038 | 992 | 57% | 2017-11-04 | Won |
| 1038 | 968 | 60% | 2015-06-25 | Lost |
| 959 | 1007 | 43% | 2015-04-25 | Lost |
| 1226 | 999 | 79% | 2014-11-07 | Won |
| 985 | 1149 | 28% | 2012-10-27 | Won |
| 1130 | 1130 | 50% | 2011-01-27 | Won |
| 1155 | 1150 | 51% | 2010-09-10 | Won |
| 1150 | 951 | 76% | 2010-08-18 | Won |
| 1048 | 1434 | 10% | 2010-07-15 | Lost |
| 1007 | 981 | 54% | 2009-11-07 | Lost |
| 1121 | 1140 | 47% | 2008-11-07 | Lost |
| 1239 | 941 | 85% | 2007-05-12 | Won |
| 1095 | 1101 | 49% | 2007-04-10 | Lost |
| 1095 | 1101 | 49% | 2007-04-03 | Lost |
| 1062 | 1038 | 53% | 2007-03-28 | Won |
| 1150 | 1160 | 49% | 2007-02-17 | Lost |
| 1000 | 958 | 56% | 2007-02-01 | Won |
| 982 | 1035 | 42% | 2006-11-29 | Lost |
| 1070 | 953 | 66% | 2006-11-24 | Won |
| 1140 | 753 | 90% | 2006-10-26 | Won |
Attacking (20 wins) average ELOs: 1071.3 vs 1050.8 has a 52.96% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).