Clash at Borisovka
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 100
Attacker wins (Russian): 49
Defender wins (German): 50
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1006 | 999 | 51% | 2025-03-28 | Lost |
| 764 | 868 | 35% | 2025-01-28 | Lost |
| 764 | 990 | 21% | 2024-10-20 | Won |
| 1277 | 764 | 95% | 2024-02-02 | Won |
| 764 | 1277 | 5% | 2024-01-29 | Lost |
| 1152 | 1074 | 61% | 2023-12-01 | Won |
| 964 | 1036 | 40% | 2023-10-31 | Lost |
| 996 | 1036 | 44% | 2023-09-23 | Won |
| 1152 | 1152 | 50% | 2023-05-13 | Lost |
| 1016 | 963 | 58% | 2022-11-23 | Won |
| 975 | 764 | 77% | 2022-10-12 | Won |
| 975 | 764 | 77% | 2022-09-19 | Won |
| 1054 | 1041 | 52% | 2022-08-05 | Won |
| 1028 | 970 | 58% | 2022-05-18 | Lost |
| 970 | 1028 | 42% | 2022-05-11 | Lost |
| 1008 | 978 | 54% | 2021-11-30 | Lost |
| 1015 | 909 | 65% | 2021-11-27 | Lost |
| 988 | 1046 | 42% | 2021-10-06 | Lost |
| 1096 | 1016 | 61% | 2021-07-06 | Won |
| 997 | 989 | 51% | 2021-02-20 | Lost |
| 1000 | 1030 | 46% | 2021-02-07 | Lost |
| 1041 | 1141 | 36% | 2021-02-05 | Won |
| 1142 | 1006 | 69% | 2021-01-30 | Won |
| 892 | 969 | 39% | 2021-01-25 | Won |
| 892 | 1016 | 33% | 2021-01-17 | Lost |
| 1001 | 1012 | 48% | 2021-01-14 | Lost |
| 1142 | 1131 | 52% | 2021-01-10 | Won |
| 939 | 909 | 54% | 2020-10-13 | Lost |
| 1016 | 1268 | 19% | 2020-10-01 | Won |
| 995 | 1047 | 43% | 2020-09-12 | Won |
| 992 | 992 | 50% | 2020-06-06 | Won |
| 1110 | 1163 | 42% | 2020-05-18 | Won |
| 1127 | 1254 | 32% | 2020-04-03 | Won |
| 1049 | 1052 | 50% | 2020-03-08 | Lost |
| 1138 | 1033 | 65% | 2020-02-29 | Won |
| 1033 | 1138 | 35% | 2020-02-29 | Lost |
| 864 | 935 | 40% | 2019-12-30 | Won |
| 1032 | 959 | 60% | 2019-11-23 | Lost |
| 1057 | 1174 | 34% | 2019-11-09 | Won |
| 909 | 886 | 53% | 2019-11-04 | Lost |
| 1174 | 1061 | 66% | 2019-09-20 | Lost |
| 764 | 1228 | 6% | 2019-08-12 | Won |
| 1228 | 764 | 94% | 2019-08-08 | Won |
| 989 | 1026 | 45% | 2019-06-10 | Lost |
| 1032 | 965 | 60% | 2019-02-02 | Lost |
| 1056 | 1063 | 49% | 2018-07-08 | Tied |
| 1032 | 994 | 55% | 2018-03-16 | Won |
| 892 | 926 | 45% | 2018-01-23 | Lost |
| 909 | 960 | 43% | 2017-11-25 | Lost |
| 934 | 1032 | 36% | 2017-08-24 | Won |
| 1094 | 1094 | 50% | 2017-08-02 | Won |
| 1029 | 1063 | 45% | 2017-05-15 | Won |
| 893 | 1181 | 16% | 2017-02-09 | Lost |
| 1181 | 893 | 84% | 2017-01-28 | Won |
| 613 | 879 | 18% | 2016-07-02 | Lost |
| 1020 | 849 | 73% | 2016-02-28 | Lost |
| 1114 | 1111 | 50% | 2015-09-27 | Won |
| 942 | 1413 | 6% | 2015-01-28 | Lost |
| 1220 | 1212 | 51% | 2014-11-23 | Won |
| 1212 | 1220 | 49% | 2014-11-16 | Lost |
| 1212 | 1220 | 49% | 2014-11-09 | Won |
| 972 | 1100 | 32% | 2014-10-26 | Lost |
| 869 | 846 | 53% | 2014-07-07 | Won |
| 1170 | 1216 | 43% | 2014-06-21 | Lost |
| 981 | 981 | 50% | 2014-04-16 | Lost |
| 987 | 909 | 61% | 2014-04-13 | Won |
| 1154 | 1081 | 60% | 2013-11-25 | Lost |
| 1159 | 1216 | 42% | 2013-11-23 | Lost |
| 764 | 1022 | 18% | 2013-04-30 | Lost |
| 1022 | 764 | 82% | 2013-04-29 | Won |
| 964 | 960 | 51% | 2013-03-22 | Won |
| 1033 | 1044 | 48% | 2012-06-21 | Won |
| 1044 | 1033 | 52% | 2012-06-06 | Lost |
| 1216 | 916 | 85% | 2012-01-16 | Won |
| 985 | 1020 | 45% | 2012-01-04 | Lost |
| 890 | 1010 | 33% | 2012-01-01 | Won |
| 1039 | 968 | 60% | 2011-01-23 | Won |
| 1216 | 1015 | 76% | 2010-07-01 | Lost |
| 962 | 1045 | 38% | 2009-10-19 | Lost |
| 920 | 1031 | 35% | 2009-07-01 | Won |
| 1000 | 1000 | 50% | 2009-02-28 | Won |
| 1161 | 1216 | 42% | 2009-01-24 | Won |
| 764 | 992 | 21% | 2009-01-01 | Lost |
| 1004 | 1031 | 46% | 2008-12-30 | Won |
| 1096 | 1001 | 63% | 2008-11-16 | Won |
| 1016 | 1151 | 31% | 2008-02-09 | Lost |
| 1009 | 1009 | 50% | 2007-10-27 | Lost |
| 1009 | 1009 | 50% | 2007-10-27 | Lost |
| 1009 | 1009 | 50% | 2007-10-13 | Lost |
| 1009 | 1009 | 50% | 2007-10-13 | Lost |
| 1009 | 1009 | 50% | 2007-10-13 | Lost |
| 1009 | 1009 | 50% | 2007-10-13 | Won |
| 1096 | 984 | 66% | 2007-08-11 | Lost |
| 1009 | 1009 | 50% | 2007-07-14 | Lost |
| 984 | 1096 | 34% | 2007-06-16 | Lost |
| 1117 | 1085 | 55% | 2007-06-02 | Won |
| 1096 | 984 | 66% | 2007-05-19 | Lost |
| 1009 | 1009 | 50% | 2007-04-02 | Won |
| 1009 | 1009 | 50% | 2007-04-02 | Won |
| 1009 | 1009 | 50% | 2007-04-02 | Won |
Attacking (49 wins) average ELOs: 1016.4 vs 1027.4 has a 48.42% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).