Clash at Borisovka
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 97
Attacker wins (Russian): 49
Defender wins (German): 47
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1164 | 1054 | 65% | 2024-10-20 | Won |
| 1246 | 1164 | 62% | 2024-02-02 | Won |
| 1164 | 1246 | 38% | 2024-01-29 | Lost |
| 1134 | 1074 | 59% | 2023-12-01 | Won |
| 964 | 1036 | 40% | 2023-10-31 | Lost |
| 996 | 1036 | 44% | 2023-09-23 | Won |
| 1134 | 1125 | 51% | 2023-05-13 | Lost |
| 1007 | 943 | 59% | 2022-11-23 | Won |
| 979 | 1164 | 26% | 2022-10-12 | Won |
| 979 | 1164 | 26% | 2022-09-19 | Won |
| 1054 | 1041 | 52% | 2022-08-05 | Won |
| 1031 | 969 | 59% | 2022-05-18 | Lost |
| 969 | 1031 | 41% | 2022-05-11 | Lost |
| 1008 | 978 | 54% | 2021-11-30 | Lost |
| 1029 | 931 | 64% | 2021-11-27 | Lost |
| 1104 | 1007 | 64% | 2021-10-06 | Lost |
| 1057 | 1007 | 57% | 2021-07-06 | Won |
| 997 | 989 | 51% | 2021-02-20 | Lost |
| 1000 | 1029 | 46% | 2021-02-07 | Lost |
| 1041 | 1141 | 36% | 2021-02-05 | Won |
| 1158 | 1006 | 71% | 2021-01-30 | Won |
| 837 | 982 | 30% | 2021-01-25 | Won |
| 837 | 1007 | 27% | 2021-01-17 | Lost |
| 1003 | 992 | 52% | 2021-01-14 | Lost |
| 1158 | 1131 | 54% | 2021-01-10 | Won |
| 965 | 931 | 55% | 2020-10-13 | Lost |
| 1007 | 1259 | 19% | 2020-10-01 | Won |
| 1027 | 1047 | 47% | 2020-09-12 | Won |
| 992 | 992 | 50% | 2020-06-06 | Won |
| 1131 | 1163 | 45% | 2020-05-18 | Won |
| 1140 | 1250 | 35% | 2020-04-03 | Won |
| 1049 | 1052 | 50% | 2020-03-08 | Lost |
| 1033 | 1137 | 35% | 2020-02-29 | Lost |
| 1137 | 1033 | 65% | 2020-02-29 | Won |
| 847 | 950 | 36% | 2019-12-30 | Won |
| 1042 | 959 | 62% | 2019-11-23 | Lost |
| 1034 | 1173 | 31% | 2019-11-09 | Won |
| 931 | 931 | 50% | 2019-11-04 | Lost |
| 1173 | 1061 | 66% | 2019-09-20 | Lost |
| 1164 | 1198 | 45% | 2019-08-12 | Won |
| 1198 | 1164 | 55% | 2019-08-08 | Won |
| 989 | 1026 | 45% | 2019-06-10 | Lost |
| 1042 | 972 | 60% | 2019-02-02 | Lost |
| 1056 | 1159 | 36% | 2018-07-08 | Tied |
| 1042 | 994 | 57% | 2018-03-16 | Won |
| 892 | 926 | 45% | 2018-01-23 | Lost |
| 931 | 961 | 46% | 2017-11-25 | Lost |
| 933 | 1042 | 35% | 2017-08-24 | Won |
| 1051 | 1051 | 50% | 2017-08-02 | Won |
| 1029 | 1159 | 32% | 2017-05-15 | Won |
| 893 | 1140 | 19% | 2017-02-09 | Lost |
| 1140 | 893 | 81% | 2017-01-28 | Won |
| 613 | 881 | 18% | 2016-07-02 | Lost |
| 1046 | 852 | 75% | 2016-02-28 | Lost |
| 1113 | 1111 | 50% | 2015-09-27 | Won |
| 942 | 1400 | 7% | 2015-01-28 | Lost |
| 1209 | 1209 | 50% | 2014-11-23 | Won |
| 1209 | 1209 | 50% | 2014-11-16 | Lost |
| 1209 | 1209 | 50% | 2014-11-09 | Won |
| 868 | 847 | 53% | 2014-07-07 | Won |
| 1169 | 1215 | 43% | 2014-06-21 | Lost |
| 981 | 981 | 50% | 2014-04-16 | Lost |
| 1013 | 931 | 62% | 2014-04-13 | Won |
| 1179 | 1081 | 64% | 2013-11-25 | Lost |
| 1158 | 1215 | 42% | 2013-11-23 | Lost |
| 1164 | 959 | 76% | 2013-04-30 | Lost |
| 959 | 1164 | 24% | 2013-04-29 | Won |
| 892 | 960 | 40% | 2013-03-22 | Won |
| 1033 | 1044 | 48% | 2012-06-21 | Won |
| 1044 | 1033 | 52% | 2012-06-06 | Lost |
| 1215 | 916 | 85% | 2012-01-16 | Won |
| 983 | 1046 | 41% | 2012-01-04 | Lost |
| 889 | 1010 | 33% | 2012-01-01 | Won |
| 1039 | 968 | 60% | 2011-01-23 | Won |
| 1215 | 1015 | 76% | 2010-07-01 | Lost |
| 924 | 1045 | 33% | 2009-10-19 | Lost |
| 931 | 1031 | 36% | 2009-07-01 | Won |
| 1000 | 1000 | 50% | 2009-02-28 | Won |
| 1160 | 1215 | 42% | 2009-01-24 | Won |
| 1164 | 992 | 73% | 2009-01-01 | Lost |
| 1004 | 1031 | 46% | 2008-12-30 | Won |
| 1094 | 1001 | 63% | 2008-11-16 | Won |
| 1016 | 1149 | 32% | 2008-02-09 | Lost |
| 1009 | 1009 | 50% | 2007-10-27 | Lost |
| 1009 | 1009 | 50% | 2007-10-27 | Lost |
| 1009 | 1009 | 50% | 2007-10-13 | Won |
| 1009 | 1009 | 50% | 2007-10-13 | Lost |
| 1009 | 1009 | 50% | 2007-10-13 | Lost |
| 1009 | 1009 | 50% | 2007-10-13 | Lost |
| 1094 | 984 | 65% | 2007-08-11 | Lost |
| 1009 | 1009 | 50% | 2007-07-14 | Lost |
| 984 | 1094 | 35% | 2007-06-16 | Lost |
| 1099 | 1086 | 52% | 2007-06-02 | Won |
| 1094 | 984 | 65% | 2007-05-19 | Lost |
| 1009 | 1009 | 50% | 2007-04-02 | Won |
| 1009 | 1009 | 50% | 2007-04-02 | Won |
| 1009 | 1009 | 50% | 2007-04-02 | Won |
Attacking (49 wins) average ELOs: 1038.3 vs 1049.8 has a 48.35% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).