Clash at Borisovka
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 229 (104 on the archive and 126 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Russian): 101
Defender wins (German): 127
With balance for the defender (only):
Games played: 1
Attacker wins (Russian): 1
Defender wins (German): 0
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Balance | Outcome |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1000 | 1049 | 43% | 2026-08-25 | Lost | |
| 1049 | 1000 | 57% | 2026-08-18 | Won | |
| 1047 | 954 | 63% | 2026-07-04 | D | Won |
| 869 | 1000 | 32% | 2026-01-07 | Lost | |
| 1035 | 999 | 55% | 2025-03-28 | Lost | |
| 1000 | 868 | 68% | 2025-01-28 | Lost | |
| 1000 | 986 | 52% | 2024-10-20 | Won | |
| 1288 | 1000 | 84% | 2024-02-02 | Won | |
| 1000 | 1288 | 16% | 2024-01-29 | Lost | |
| 1185 | 1000 | 74% | 2023-12-01 | Won | |
| 1000 | 1036 | 45% | 2023-10-31 | Lost | |
| 1000 | 1036 | 45% | 2023-09-23 | Won | |
| 1185 | 1000 | 74% | 2023-05-13 | Lost | |
| 996 | 962 | 55% | 2022-11-23 | Won | |
| 982 | 1000 | 47% | 2022-10-12 | Won | |
| 982 | 1000 | 47% | 2022-09-19 | Won | |
| 1054 | 1000 | 58% | 2022-08-05 | Won | |
| 1028 | 970 | 58% | 2022-05-18 | Lost | |
| 970 | 1028 | 42% | 2022-05-11 | Lost | |
| 980 | 977 | 50% | 2021-11-30 | Lost | |
| 1000 | 950 | 57% | 2021-11-27 | Lost | |
| 1000 | 1035 | 45% | 2021-10-06 | Lost | |
| 1187 | 996 | 75% | 2021-07-06 | Won | |
| 1000 | 989 | 52% | 2021-02-20 | Lost | |
| 1000 | 1030 | 46% | 2021-02-07 | Lost | |
| 1000 | 1140 | 31% | 2021-02-05 | Won | |
| 1092 | 1006 | 62% | 2021-01-30 | Won | |
| 890 | 1035 | 30% | 2021-01-25 | Won | |
| 890 | 996 | 35% | 2021-01-17 | Lost | |
| 1000 | 1012 | 48% | 2021-01-14 | Lost | |
| 1092 | 1000 | 63% | 2021-01-10 | Won | |
| 1000 | 950 | 57% | 2020-10-13 | Lost | |
| 996 | 1217 | 22% | 2020-10-01 | Won | |
| 1028 | 1000 | 54% | 2020-09-12 | Won | |
| 992 | 992 | 50% | 2020-06-06 | Won | |
| 1102 | 1164 | 41% | 2020-05-18 | Won | |
| 1123 | 1000 | 67% | 2020-04-03 | Won | |
| 1000 | 1052 | 43% | 2020-03-08 | Lost | |
| 1138 | 1000 | 69% | 2020-02-29 | Won | |
| 1000 | 1138 | 31% | 2020-02-29 | Lost | |
| 843 | 944 | 36% | 2019-12-30 | Won | |
| 1082 | 1000 | 62% | 2019-11-23 | Lost | |
| 1057 | 1172 | 34% | 2019-11-09 | Won | |
| 950 | 1000 | 43% | 2019-11-04 | Lost | |
| 1172 | 1077 | 63% | 2019-09-20 | Lost | |
| 1000 | 1227 | 21% | 2019-08-12 | Won | |
| 1227 | 1000 | 79% | 2019-08-08 | Won | |
| 989 | 1000 | 48% | 2019-06-10 | Lost | |
| 1082 | 966 | 66% | 2019-02-02 | Lost | |
| 1054 | 1000 | 58% | 2018-07-08 | Tied | |
| 1082 | 1000 | 62% | 2018-03-16 | Won | |
| 881 | 926 | 44% | 2018-01-23 | Lost | |
| 950 | 1000 | 43% | 2017-11-25 | Lost | |
| 1000 | 1082 | 38% | 2017-08-24 | Won | |
| 1135 | 1000 | 69% | 2017-08-02 | Won | |
| 1031 | 1000 | 54% | 2017-05-15 | Won | |
| 894 | 1075 | 26% | 2017-02-09 | Lost | |
| 1075 | 894 | 74% | 2017-01-28 | Won | |
| 1000 | 889 | 65% | 2016-07-02 | Lost | |
| 952 | 1000 | 43% | 2016-02-28 | Lost | |
| 1174 | 1000 | 73% | 2015-09-27 | Won | |
| 944 | 1435 | 6% | 2015-01-28 | Lost | |
| 1220 | 1000 | 78% | 2014-11-23 | Won | |
| 1000 | 1220 | 22% | 2014-11-16 | Lost | |
| 1000 | 1220 | 22% | 2014-11-09 | Won | |
| 1000 | 1029 | 46% | 2014-10-26 | Lost | |
| 1000 | 850 | 70% | 2014-07-07 | Won | |
| 1000 | 1215 | 22% | 2014-06-21 | Lost | |
| 1000 | 981 | 53% | 2014-04-16 | Lost | |
| 1002 | 950 | 57% | 2014-04-13 | Won | |
| 1178 | 1000 | 74% | 2013-11-25 | Lost | |
| 1000 | 1215 | 22% | 2013-11-23 | Lost | |
| 1000 | 1016 | 48% | 2013-04-30 | Lost | |
| 1016 | 1000 | 52% | 2013-04-29 | Won | |
| 1156 | 1000 | 71% | 2013-03-22 | Won | |
| 1033 | 1000 | 55% | 2012-06-21 | Won | |
| 1000 | 1033 | 45% | 2012-06-06 | Lost | |
| 1215 | 916 | 85% | 2012-01-16 | Won | |
| 1000 | 952 | 57% | 2012-01-04 | Lost | |
| 891 | 1000 | 35% | 2012-01-01 | Won | |
| 1039 | 968 | 60% | 2011-01-23 | Won | |
| 1215 | 1015 | 76% | 2010-07-01 | Lost | |
| 1000 | 1045 | 44% | 2009-10-19 | Lost | |
| 896 | 1000 | 35% | 2009-07-01 | Won | |
| 1000 | 1000 | 50% | 2009-02-28 | Won | |
| 1000 | 1215 | 22% | 2009-01-24 | Won | |
| 1000 | 990 | 51% | 2009-01-01 | Lost | |
| 1003 | 1000 | 50% | 2008-12-30 | Won | |
| 1108 | 1000 | 65% | 2008-11-16 | Won | |
| 1000 | 1152 | 29% | 2008-02-09 | Lost | |
| 1009 | 1000 | 51% | 2007-10-27 | Lost | |
| 1009 | 1000 | 51% | 2007-10-27 | Lost | |
| 1009 | 1000 | 51% | 2007-10-13 | Lost | |
| 1009 | 1000 | 51% | 2007-10-13 | Lost | |
| 1000 | 1009 | 49% | 2007-10-13 | Lost | |
| 1009 | 1000 | 51% | 2007-10-13 | Won | |
| 1108 | 1000 | 65% | 2007-08-11 | Lost | |
| 1000 | 1009 | 49% | 2007-07-14 | Lost | |
| 1000 | 1108 | 35% | 2007-06-16 | Lost | |
| 1127 | 1000 | 68% | 2007-06-02 | Won | |
| 1108 | 1000 | 65% | 2007-05-19 | Lost | |
| 1009 | 1000 | 51% | 2007-04-02 | Won | |
| 1000 | 1009 | 49% | 2007-04-02 | Won | |
| 1000 | 1009 | 49% | 2007-04-02 | Won |
Attacking (51 wins) average ELOs: 1030 vs 1025.7 has a 50.63% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).