Purple Heart Lane
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 89 (39 on the archive and 50 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (American): 40
Defender wins (German): 49
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
---|
1187 | 1213 | 46% | 2023-12-20 | Lost |
1056 | 1075 | 47% | 2023-02-13 | Lost |
1056 | 1075 | 47% | 2023-02-03 | Won |
1036 | 1036 | 50% | 2022-08-14 | Lost |
1024 | 1041 | 48% | 2020-09-22 | Won |
977 | 1011 | 45% | 2020-06-25 | Lost |
1429 | 1141 | 84% | 2019-12-27 | Won |
912 | 1012 | 36% | 2019-10-11 | Lost |
1017 | 1152 | 31% | 2019-10-08 | Lost |
989 | 1026 | 45% | 2019-05-06 | Lost |
998 | 934 | 59% | 2019-04-05 | Won |
1183 | 1128 | 58% | 2017-07-25 | Lost |
986 | 851 | 69% | 2015-11-20 | Won |
986 | 851 | 69% | 2015-11-20 | Won |
1113 | 1111 | 50% | 2015-11-18 | Won |
1099 | 1113 | 48% | 2015-08-25 | Lost |
1197 | 1126 | 60% | 2015-06-20 | Lost |
1036 | 962 | 60% | 2014-07-30 | Won |
1207 | 1207 | 50% | 2014-05-12 | Won |
1207 | 1207 | 50% | 2014-05-03 | Lost |
981 | 981 | 50% | 2014-04-03 | Won |
982 | 999 | 48% | 2012-09-02 | Lost |
999 | 982 | 52% | 2012-09-01 | Lost |
1026 | 1017 | 51% | 2012-05-08 | Won |
1026 | 1017 | 51% | 2012-05-08 | Lost |
1047 | 1047 | 50% | 2011-11-09 | Lost |
1027 | 990 | 55% | 2010-12-01 | Won |
1115 | 1033 | 62% | 2010-10-02 | Lost |
914 | 1216 | 15% | 2009-12-26 | Lost |
1003 | 1012 | 49% | 2009-11-10 | Won |
1004 | 1026 | 47% | 2009-06-28 | Won |
1025 | 1040 | 48% | 2009-04-10 | Won |
1073 | 932 | 69% | 2009-03-21 | Won |
946 | 1019 | 40% | 2009-03-19 | Won |
1025 | 1216 | 25% | 2009-01-04 | Lost |
1003 | 954 | 57% | 2008-09-20 | Lost |
1017 | 1115 | 36% | 2008-07-22 | Lost |
831 | 831 | 50% | 2008-02-24 | Lost |
1009 | 1009 | 50% | 2007-08-31 | Won |
Attacking (18 wins) average ELOs: 1044.8 vs 1043.8 has a 50.15% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).