Ghost Riders
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 93 (24 on the archive and 69 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Italian / German): 52
Defender wins (Russian): 41
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Balance | Outcome |
|---|
| 1000 | 1036 | 45% | 2025-08-31 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1000 | 50% | 2020-07-06 | | Lost |
| 984 | 1000 | 48% | 2018-05-09 | | Won |
| 1043 | 894 | 70% | 2017-05-07 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1034 | 45% | 2017-01-14 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1000 | 50% | 2016-07-29 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1142 | 31% | 2016-02-27 | | Lost |
| 919 | 972 | 42% | 2015-10-23 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 919 | 61% | 2014-12-07 | | Lost |
| 1008 | 1000 | 51% | 2013-06-28 | | Won |
| 1010 | 1000 | 51% | 2012-09-19 | | Won |
| 1016 | 1000 | 52% | 2012-06-18 | | Lost |
| 1105 | 1000 | 65% | 2012-05-03 | | Won |
| 1076 | 1000 | 61% | 2010-11-18 | | Won |
| 1000 | 979 | 53% | 2008-11-27 | | Won |
| 1194 | 1062 | 68% | 2008-09-06 | | Lost |
| 1278 | 1042 | 80% | 2008-09-06 | | Won |
| 1005 | 1000 | 51% | 2008-09-06 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1170 | 27% | 2008-06-19 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1029 | 46% | 2008-05-28 | | Won |
| 1006 | 1000 | 51% | 2008-05-24 | | Lost |
| 831 | 1142 | 14% | 2008-01-29 | | Lost |
| 1069 | 1069 | 50% | 2008-01-20 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 931 | 60% | 2007-10-02 | | Lost |
Attacking (10 wins) average ELOs: 1022.7 vs 1017.5 has a 50.74% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).