Ghost Riders
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 86 (17 on the archive and 69 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Italian / German): 35
Defender wins (Russian): 51
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
---|
905 | 1284 | 10% | 2020-07-06 | Lost |
925 | 1006 | 39% | 2018-05-09 | Won |
1083 | 1003 | 61% | 2017-05-07 | Won |
1066 | 1207 | 31% | 2017-01-14 | Lost |
1208 | 1153 | 58% | 2016-07-29 | Lost |
989 | 1083 | 37% | 2015-10-23 | Lost |
975 | 989 | 48% | 2014-12-07 | Lost |
1115 | 976 | 69% | 2013-06-28 | Won |
1105 | 1049 | 58% | 2012-09-19 | Won |
1068 | 1167 | 36% | 2012-06-18 | Lost |
1090 | 1054 | 55% | 2010-11-18 | Won |
1028 | 987 | 56% | 2008-11-27 | Won |
1307 | 1012 | 85% | 2008-09-06 | Lost |
1360 | 1115 | 80% | 2008-09-06 | Won |
902 | 1095 | 25% | 2008-05-28 | Won |
1197 | 1037 | 72% | 2008-05-24 | Lost |
1093 | 1030 | 59% | 2007-10-02 | Lost |
Attacking (8 wins) average ELOs: 1083.3 vs 1073.4 has a 51.43% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).