Ghost Riders
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 90 (21 on the archive and 69 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Italian / German): 36
Defender wins (Russian): 54
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 956 | 953 | 50% | 2025-08-31 | Won |
| 891 | 1219 | 13% | 2020-07-06 | Lost |
| 1159 | 1030 | 68% | 2018-05-09 | Won |
| 1028 | 987 | 56% | 2017-05-07 | Won |
| 1068 | 1220 | 29% | 2017-01-14 | Lost |
| 1209 | 1261 | 43% | 2016-07-29 | Lost |
| 1076 | 1152 | 39% | 2016-02-27 | Lost |
| 1061 | 1091 | 46% | 2015-10-23 | Lost |
| 977 | 1061 | 38% | 2014-12-07 | Lost |
| 919 | 976 | 42% | 2013-06-28 | Won |
| 1099 | 1086 | 52% | 2012-09-19 | Won |
| 1067 | 1160 | 37% | 2012-06-18 | Lost |
| 1106 | 1052 | 58% | 2010-11-18 | Won |
| 907 | 987 | 39% | 2008-11-27 | Won |
| 1333 | 1011 | 86% | 2008-09-06 | Lost |
| 1416 | 1113 | 85% | 2008-09-06 | Won |
| 903 | 1117 | 23% | 2008-05-28 | Won |
| 1152 | 1037 | 66% | 2008-05-24 | Lost |
| 713 | 1152 | 7% | 2008-01-29 | Lost |
| 1073 | 1073 | 50% | 2008-01-20 | Lost |
| 1103 | 1035 | 60% | 2007-10-02 | Lost |
Attacking (9 wins) average ELOs: 1057.9 vs 1084.4 has a 46.19% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).