Agony at Arnautovo
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 130 (22 on the archive and 108 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Russian / Partisan): 76
Defender wins (Italian): 54
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1049 | 997 | 57% | 2022-03-19 | Won |
| 1087 | 1030 | 58% | 2022-03-19 | Won |
| 1032 | 1032 | 50% | 2021-04-16 | Won |
| 1062 | 1058 | 51% | 2020-10-10 | Won |
| 1102 | 1102 | 50% | 2020-07-08 | Lost |
| 983 | 977 | 51% | 2020-01-25 | Won |
| 1117 | 1096 | 53% | 2013-11-29 | Won |
| 1157 | 1001 | 71% | 2013-03-09 | Won |
| 1070 | 1060 | 51% | 2011-06-12 | Won |
| 1091 | 983 | 65% | 2011-04-20 | Lost |
| 1044 | 920 | 67% | 2011-02-28 | Won |
| 1020 | 1011 | 51% | 2011-02-26 | Won |
| 1118 | 1014 | 65% | 2010-12-21 | Won |
| 989 | 1062 | 40% | 2010-05-01 | Lost |
| 950 | 1003 | 42% | 2009-12-18 | Lost |
| 1173 | 1313 | 31% | 2009-09-12 | Lost |
| 967 | 1037 | 40% | 2008-11-08 | Lost |
| 1009 | 1074 | 41% | 2008-07-10 | Lost |
| 986 | 994 | 49% | 2007-11-30 | Lost |
| 862 | 1157 | 15% | 2007-10-09 | Won |
| 1037 | 1165 | 32% | 2007-10-01 | Won |
| 1030 | 1085 | 42% | | Lost |
Attacking (13 wins) average ELOs: 1042.5 vs 1053.2 has a 48.46% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).