Flea Circus
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 32 (8 on the archive and 24 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 11
Defender wins (Italian): 21
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 953 | 1219 | 18% | 2020-11-06 | Lost |
| 1087 | 1087 | 50% | 2019-09-08 | Lost |
| 1158 | 764 | 91% | 2018-05-09 | Won |
| 764 | 1016 | 19% | 2014-05-11 | Lost |
| 1091 | 1122 | 46% | 2013-11-22 | Lost |
| 1060 | 931 | 68% | 2012-09-21 | Won |
| 1195 | 1115 | 61% | 2008-12-06 | Lost |
| 1008 | 986 | 53% | 2007-12-01 | Won |
Attacking (3 wins) average ELOs: 1039.5 vs 1030 has a 51.37% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).