The Zebra Mission
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 21
Attacker wins (American): 15
Defender wins (German): 6
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1064 | 1033 | 54% | 2025-05-09 | Lost |
| 966 | 1124 | 29% | 2025-05-02 | Lost |
| 1048 | 941 | 65% | 2025-05-02 | Won |
| 997 | 1049 | 43% | 2023-02-07 | Won |
| 1030 | 1100 | 40% | 2023-02-07 | Won |
| 1269 | 1146 | 67% | 2020-09-06 | Won |
| 1036 | 1110 | 40% | 2018-04-07 | Won |
| 1052 | 1096 | 44% | 2017-02-18 | Lost |
| 1143 | 1020 | 67% | 2015-05-08 | Won |
| 1020 | 1143 | 33% | 2015-03-20 | Won |
| 1098 | 976 | 67% | 2015-03-08 | Won |
| 1163 | 965 | 76% | 2014-05-30 | Won |
| 1020 | 1143 | 33% | 2014-03-01 | Lost |
| 1098 | 993 | 65% | 2013-07-21 | Won |
| 1243 | 1020 | 78% | 2011-01-20 | Won |
| 1034 | 1059 | 46% | 2009-03-17 | Won |
| 1086 | 904 | 74% | 2008-04-10 | Won |
| 977 | 1182 | 24% | 2008-02-27 | Lost |
| 1152 | 987 | 72% | 2008-02-24 | Won |
| 1028 | 1182 | 29% | 2007-10-27 | Lost |
| 1152 | 1219 | 40% | 2007-10-05 | Won |
Attacking (15 wins) average ELOs: 1079.8 vs 1066.3 has a 51.95% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).