The Zebra Mission
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 18
Attacker wins (American): 13
Defender wins (German): 5
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 927 | 945 | 47% | 2025-05-02 | Won |
| 1007 | 1116 | 35% | 2025-05-02 | Lost |
| 1029 | 1116 | 38% | 2023-02-07 | Won |
| 955 | 1049 | 37% | 2023-02-07 | Won |
| 1282 | 1141 | 69% | 2020-09-06 | Won |
| 1014 | 1110 | 37% | 2018-04-07 | Won |
| 1061 | 1097 | 45% | 2017-02-18 | Lost |
| 1207 | 1032 | 73% | 2015-05-08 | Won |
| 1032 | 1207 | 27% | 2015-03-20 | Won |
| 1086 | 977 | 65% | 2015-03-08 | Won |
| 1147 | 966 | 74% | 2014-05-30 | Won |
| 1032 | 1207 | 27% | 2014-03-01 | Lost |
| 1099 | 992 | 65% | 2013-07-21 | Won |
| 1242 | 1018 | 78% | 2011-01-20 | Won |
| 1029 | 1036 | 49% | 2009-03-17 | Won |
| 1087 | 905 | 74% | 2008-04-10 | Won |
| 977 | 1147 | 27% | 2008-02-27 | Lost |
| 1027 | 1147 | 33% | 2007-10-27 | Lost |
Attacking (13 wins) average ELOs: 1068.9 vs 1067.1 has a 50.26% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).