Retreat From Bairak
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 18
Attacker wins (Russian): 7
Defender wins (German): 10
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1032 | 1141 | 35% | 2025-10-02 | Lost |
| 1008 | 1148 | 31% | 2025-09-06 | Tied |
| 1257 | 951 | 85% | 2025-08-16 | Won |
| 904 | 1333 | 8% | 2024-10-31 | Lost |
| 1014 | 1193 | 26% | 2024-06-15 | Won |
| 1131 | 1144 | 48% | 2023-04-25 | Won |
| 1148 | 969 | 74% | 2021-10-10 | Lost |
| 1228 | 1091 | 69% | 2020-12-17 | Won |
| 989 | 1010 | 47% | 2020-09-30 | Lost |
| 1016 | 1016 | 50% | 2020-02-19 | Won |
| 840 | 1070 | 21% | 2019-09-15 | Lost |
| 1002 | 1152 | 30% | 2010-10-06 | Lost |
| 997 | 1110 | 34% | 2010-06-27 | Won |
| 976 | 1075 | 36% | 2010-01-10 | Lost |
| 968 | 1070 | 36% | 2009-03-20 | Lost |
| 1078 | 1123 | 44% | 2008-06-01 | Won |
| 1009 | 1009 | 50% | 2008-01-26 | Lost |
| 1103 | 1030 | 60% | | Lost |
Attacking (7 wins) average ELOs: 1038.9 vs 1090.8 has a 42.58% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).