The Last Circle
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 35 (7 on the archive and 28 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Russian): 18
Defender wins (German): 17
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
---|
1109 | 1008 | 64% | 2023-10-04 | Won |
891 | 1058 | 28% | 2020-05-28 | Won |
1041 | 983 | 58% | 2017-10-29 | Lost |
948 | 1000 | 43% | 2014-11-07 | Lost |
1083 | 972 | 65% | 2012-10-04 | Lost |
1047 | 1105 | 42% | 2012-09-19 | Won |
1080 | 1197 | 34% | 2007-11-04 | Lost |
Attacking (3 wins) average ELOs: 1028.4 vs 1046.1 has a 47.45% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).