The Last Circle
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 39 (9 on the archive and 30 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Russian): 21
Defender wins (German): 18
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1121 | 1058 | 59% | 2023-10-04 | Won |
| 1029 | 1085 | 42% | 2022-11-08 | Won |
| 891 | 991 | 36% | 2020-05-28 | Won |
| 1009 | 748 | 82% | 2017-10-29 | Lost |
| 949 | 1010 | 41% | 2014-11-07 | Lost |
| 1041 | 1016 | 54% | 2012-10-04 | Lost |
| 1041 | 1043 | 50% | 2012-10-04 | Lost |
| 1066 | 1099 | 45% | 2012-09-19 | Won |
| 1081 | 1141 | 41% | 2007-11-04 | Lost |
Attacking (4 wins) average ELOs: 1025.3 vs 1021.2 has a 50.59% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).