The Last Circle
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 10
Attacker wins (Russian): 5
Defender wins (German): 5
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Balance | Outcome |
|---|
| 1012 | 1126 | 34% | 2026-07-23 | | Won |
| 1119 | 1147 | 46% | 2023-10-04 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1029 | 46% | 2022-11-08 | | Won |
| 1000 | 989 | 52% | 2020-05-28 | | Won |
| 985 | 1000 | 48% | 2017-10-29 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 983 | 52% | 2014-11-07 | | Lost |
| 1068 | 1019 | 57% | 2012-10-04 | | Lost |
| 1068 | 1056 | 52% | 2012-10-04 | | Lost |
| 1042 | 1099 | 42% | 2012-09-19 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1214 | 23% | 2007-11-04 | | Lost |
Attacking (5 wins) average ELOs: 1029.4 vs 1066.2 has a 44.72% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).