Through Fire And Ice
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 51 (10 on the archive and 41 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Russian): 26
Defender wins (Finnish): 25
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 999 | 851 | 70% | 2023-12-13 | Lost |
| 1228 | 932 | 85% | 2011-06-25 | Won |
| 1066 | 1228 | 28% | 2011-06-03 | Lost |
| 1228 | 1098 | 68% | 2011-05-22 | Won |
| 1247 | 1115 | 68% | 2010-03-19 | Lost |
| 1027 | 1158 | 32% | 2009-05-23 | Won |
| 1041 | 1044 | 50% | 2008-11-24 | Lost |
| 1136 | 1044 | 63% | 2008-11-16 | Won |
| 1099 | 1137 | 45% | 2008-02-22 | Won |
| 1152 | 995 | 71% | 2007-09-29 | Lost |
Attacking (5 wins) average ELOs: 1122.3 vs 1060.2 has a 58.84% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).