About His Shadowy Sides
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 146 (30 on the archive and 116 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Russian): 65
Defender wins (German): 81
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1263 | 1004 | 82% | 2026-02-07 | Won |
| 1043 | 1049 | 49% | 2024-02-27 | Won |
| 1012 | 1080 | 40% | 2023-11-14 | Won |
| 1028 | 960 | 60% | 2023-01-26 | Lost |
| 953 | 982 | 46% | 2021-03-30 | Won |
| 1166 | 913 | 81% | 2020-04-19 | Lost |
| 1170 | 1227 | 42% | 2018-04-08 | Won |
| 1056 | 1010 | 57% | 2018-01-03 | Lost |
| 933 | 1218 | 16% | 2017-11-03 | Lost |
| 1038 | 998 | 56% | 2017-10-11 | Won |
| 943 | 1430 | 6% | 2016-09-04 | Won |
| 989 | 1263 | 17% | 2016-05-08 | Lost |
| 1003 | 1092 | 37% | 2015-06-20 | Lost |
| 855 | 884 | 46% | 2015-06-18 | Lost |
| 988 | 1038 | 43% | 2015-03-19 | Lost |
| 1043 | 1051 | 49% | 2015-01-18 | Lost |
| 1178 | 1431 | 19% | 2014-02-23 | Lost |
| 1003 | 1071 | 40% | 2013-03-22 | Lost |
| 1121 | 1036 | 62% | 2011-11-12 | Lost |
| 1141 | 1029 | 66% | 2011-11-12 | Won |
| 1121 | 1159 | 45% | 2011-10-24 | Won |
| 753 | 1141 | 10% | 2011-09-07 | Lost |
| 1026 | 1062 | 45% | 2010-05-23 | Won |
| 915 | 1003 | 38% | 2009-06-02 | Lost |
| 1101 | 1095 | 51% | 2009-03-07 | Won |
| 997 | 1058 | 41% | 2008-07-23 | Won |
| 1159 | 1197 | 45% | 2008-07-05 | Lost |
| 1017 | 1158 | 31% | 2008-05-23 | Won |
| 1158 | 1019 | 69% | 2007-10-23 | Won |
| 1036 | 992 | 56% | | Lost |
Attacking (14 wins) average ELOs: 1040.3 vs 1088.3 has a 43.13% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).