Forging Spetsnaz
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 79 (20 on the archive and 59 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Russian): 39
Defender wins (Japanese): 40
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Balance | Outcome |
|---|
| 1000 | 1152 | 29% | 2020-10-25 | | Lost |
| 1039 | 1038 | 50% | 2018-07-21 | | Lost |
| 1291 | 1000 | 84% | 2016-07-30 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1102 | 36% | 2016-07-30 | | Lost |
| 1170 | 1000 | 73% | 2016-07-30 | | Won |
| 1134 | 1098 | 55% | 2015-06-11 | | Lost |
| 979 | 975 | 51% | 2014-06-28 | | Won |
| 1064 | 1134 | 40% | 2014-04-14 | | Lost |
| 920 | 1000 | 39% | 2013-11-20 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1242 | 20% | 2012-10-05 | | Won |
| 1000 | 979 | 53% | 2012-03-10 | | Lost |
| 1019 | 1253 | 21% | 2012-02-03 | | Lost |
| 936 | 982 | 43% | 2011-03-24 | | Lost |
| 991 | 1214 | 22% | 2011-03-18 | | Lost |
| 1068 | 1000 | 60% | 2010-07-17 | | Won |
| 1144 | 1068 | 61% | 2010-01-14 | | Won |
| 1078 | 1151 | 40% | 2008-12-22 | | Lost |
| 1226 | 1169 | 58% | 2008-02-23 | | Lost |
| 1141 | 1064 | 61% | 2008-02-23 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 959 | 56% | 2007-11-18 | | Lost |
Attacking (6 wins) average ELOs: 1060 vs 1079 has a 47.27% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).