Forging Spetsnaz
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 17
Attacker wins (Russian): 5
Defender wins (Japanese): 12
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1173 | 1150 | 53% | 2020-10-25 | Lost |
| 988 | 1038 | 43% | 2018-07-21 | Lost |
| 1203 | 1166 | 55% | 2016-07-30 | Won |
| 994 | 1009 | 48% | 2016-07-30 | Lost |
| 1310 | 925 | 90% | 2016-07-30 | Won |
| 1195 | 1043 | 71% | 2015-06-11 | Lost |
| 945 | 976 | 46% | 2014-06-28 | Won |
| 1061 | 1132 | 40% | 2014-04-14 | Lost |
| 920 | 925 | 49% | 2013-11-20 | Lost |
| 1148 | 945 | 76% | 2012-03-10 | Lost |
| 1018 | 1242 | 22% | 2012-02-03 | Lost |
| 938 | 982 | 44% | 2011-03-24 | Lost |
| 991 | 1158 | 28% | 2011-03-18 | Lost |
| 1024 | 1084 | 41% | 2010-07-17 | Won |
| 1149 | 1024 | 67% | 2010-01-14 | Won |
| 1149 | 1131 | 53% | 2008-02-23 | Lost |
| 1090 | 1055 | 55% | 2007-11-18 | Lost |
Attacking (5 wins) average ELOs: 1076.2 vs 1057.9 has a 52.63% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).