First Trial-By-Fire
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 13 (4 on the archive and 9 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Italian): 6
Defender wins (American): 7
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1162 | 1219 | 42% | 2021-06-13 | Lost |
| 1196 | 1219 | 47% | 2021-06-13 | Lost |
| 1042 | 1052 | 49% | 2013-05-19 | Lost |
| 1182 | 1027 | 71% | 2007-08-03 | Won |
Attacking (1 wins) average ELOs: 1145.5 vs 1129.3 has a 52.34% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).