The First Bid
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 34 (4 on the archive and 30 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 13
Defender wins (Russian (NKVD)/Russian): 21
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Balance | Outcome |
|---|
| 1102 | 1000 | 64% | 2024-12-12 | | Lost |
| 966 | 1103 | 31% | 2012-10-05 | | Lost |
| 1141 | 1000 | 69% | 2012-07-08 | | Lost |
| 1035 | 1000 | 55% | 2008-04-20 | | Won |
Attacking (1 wins) average ELOs: 1061 vs 1025.8 has a 55.06% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).