The First Bid
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 3
Attacker wins (German): 1
Defender wins (Russian (NKVD)/Russian): 2
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1106 | 1199 | 37% | 2024-12-12 | Lost |
| 993 | 1087 | 37% | 2012-10-05 | Lost |
| 1029 | 1092 | 41% | 2008-04-20 | Won |
Attacking (1 wins) average ELOs: 1042.7 vs 1126 has a 38.23% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).