Russe! Drown in the Wolga!
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 89 (21 on the archive and 68 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 49
Defender wins (Russian (NKVD)/Russian): 38
With balance for the defender (only):
Games played: 1
Attacker wins (German): 1
Defender wins (Russian (NKVD)/Russian): 0
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1048 | 1018 | 54% | 2024-02-19 | Won |
| 878 | 755 | 67% | 2020-04-05 | Lost |
| 1050 | 876 | 73% | 2019-03-10 | Won |
| 1114 | 1127 | 48% | 2018-05-23 | Won |
| 1020 | 987 | 55% | 2016-08-01 | Won |
| 987 | 1020 | 45% | 2016-07-01 | Lost |
| 1074 | 1088 | 48% | 2016-03-29 | Won |
| 943 | 1333 | 10% | 2014-11-06 | Tied |
| 1228 | 992 | 80% | 2014-03-26 | Won |
| 1009 | 1009 | 50% | 2012-11-23 | Lost |
| 1067 | 995 | 60% | 2012-11-19 | Won |
| 927 | 1017 | 37% | 2012-07-16 | Lost |
| 1100 | 870 | 79% | 2011-08-07 | Lost |
| 1185 | 952 | 79% | 2011-04-15 | Won |
| 1065 | 1003 | 59% | 2010-06-19 | Lost |
| 1117 | 1118 | 50% | 2009-09-05 | Lost |
| 1100 | 1095 | 51% | 2008-12-03 | Won |
| 1100 | 1095 | 51% | 2008-12-03 | Won |
| 1100 | 1095 | 51% | 2008-11-02 | Won |
| 1185 | 1014 | 73% | 2008-04-15 | Won |
| 1078 | 1139 | 41% | 2008-03-30 | Lost |
Attacking (12 wins) average ELOs: 1065.5 vs 1028.5 has a 55.3% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).