Russe! Drown in the Wolga!
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 89 (21 on the archive and 68 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 41
Defender wins (Russian (NKVD)/Russian): 46
With balance for the defender (only):
Games played: 1
Attacker wins (German): 1
Defender wins (Russian (NKVD)/Russian): 0
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
---|
1043 | 959 | 62% | 2024-02-19 | Won |
879 | 809 | 60% | 2020-04-05 | Lost |
1017 | 879 | 69% | 2019-03-10 | Won |
1113 | 1127 | 48% | 2018-05-23 | Won |
1020 | 998 | 53% | 2016-08-01 | Won |
998 | 1020 | 47% | 2016-07-01 | Lost |
1026 | 1026 | 50% | 2016-03-29 | Won |
942 | 1310 | 11% | 2014-11-06 | Tied |
1228 | 992 | 80% | 2014-03-26 | Won |
1009 | 1010 | 50% | 2012-11-23 | Lost |
1067 | 994 | 60% | 2012-11-19 | Won |
955 | 898 | 58% | 2012-07-16 | Lost |
1098 | 870 | 79% | 2011-08-07 | Lost |
1139 | 952 | 75% | 2011-04-15 | Won |
1022 | 1004 | 53% | 2010-06-19 | Lost |
1099 | 1116 | 48% | 2009-09-05 | Lost |
1098 | 1096 | 50% | 2008-12-03 | Won |
1098 | 1096 | 50% | 2008-12-03 | Won |
1098 | 1096 | 50% | 2008-11-02 | Won |
1139 | 987 | 71% | 2008-04-15 | Won |
1077 | 1008 | 60% | 2008-03-30 | Lost |
Attacking (12 wins) average ELOs: 1055.5 vs 1011.8 has a 56.26% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).