Pavlov's House
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 24
Attacker wins (German): 7
Defender wins (Russian): 16
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1024 | 1025 | 50% | 2023-10-10 | Lost |
| 962 | 879 | 62% | 2022-11-30 | Lost |
| 985 | 988 | 50% | 2022-02-22 | Lost |
| 1102 | 1010 | 63% | 2020-10-27 | Lost |
| 956 | 1066 | 35% | 2019-11-09 | Won |
| 909 | 1255 | 12% | 2019-07-17 | Lost |
| 893 | 1191 | 15% | 2019-05-10 | Lost |
| 893 | 1191 | 15% | 2019-05-10 | Lost |
| 881 | 1127 | 20% | 2016-09-03 | Lost |
| 1117 | 969 | 70% | 2013-05-11 | Won |
| 1067 | 1153 | 38% | 2013-01-05 | Lost |
| 1017 | 950 | 60% | 2012-05-25 | Won |
| 1143 | 947 | 76% | 2011-08-21 | Lost |
| 1100 | 871 | 79% | 2011-02-03 | Won |
| 1133 | 1228 | 37% | 2010-10-01 | Lost |
| 1052 | 941 | 65% | 2010-05-08 | Lost |
| 984 | 1060 | 39% | 2010-04-25 | Lost |
| 984 | 1060 | 39% | 2010-03-25 | Won |
| 1119 | 878 | 80% | 2008-10-10 | Lost |
| 1096 | 1100 | 49% | 2008-06-27 | Lost |
| 1100 | 1096 | 51% | 2008-06-11 | Won |
| 1277 | 1034 | 80% | 2008-05-27 | Tied |
| 1039 | 933 | 65% | 2008-01-18 | Won |
| 1118 | 1090 | 54% | | Lost |
Attacking (7 wins) average ELOs: 1039.6 vs 1043.4 has a 49.45% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).