The Umbrella Men
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 9
Attacker wins (German): 3
Defender wins (Commonwealth): 5
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 918 | 1086 | 28% | 2024-10-07 | Lost |
| 1005 | 1081 | 39% | 2024-01-14 | Won |
| 896 | 1176 | 17% | 2021-11-19 | Lost |
| 949 | 904 | 56% | 2017-10-15 | Lost |
| 1303 | 1420 | 34% | 2015-03-18 | Lost |
| 1083 | 1176 | 37% | 2013-12-31 | Tied |
| 1101 | 870 | 79% | 2011-12-08 | Lost |
| 1086 | 694 | 91% | 2009-02-14 | Won |
| 969 | 827 | 69% | 2006-04-07 | Won |
Attacking (3 wins) average ELOs: 1034.4 vs 1026 has a 51.22% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).