The Umbrella Men
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 9
Attacker wins (German): 3
Defender wins (Commonwealth): 5
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 910 | 1080 | 27% | 2024-10-07 | Lost |
| 1016 | 1075 | 42% | 2024-01-14 | Won |
| 896 | 1147 | 19% | 2021-11-19 | Lost |
| 949 | 904 | 56% | 2017-10-15 | Lost |
| 1304 | 1419 | 34% | 2015-03-18 | Lost |
| 1080 | 1147 | 40% | 2013-12-31 | Tied |
| 1100 | 870 | 79% | 2011-12-08 | Lost |
| 1080 | 693 | 90% | 2009-02-14 | Won |
| 969 | 827 | 69% | 2006-04-07 | Won |
Attacking (3 wins) average ELOs: 1033.8 vs 1018 has a 52.27% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).