Second Crack at Caumont
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 239 (43 on the archive and 196 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (American): 122
Defender wins (German): 117
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
---|
1013 | 1013 | 50% | 2023-08-21 | Won |
1062 | 1018 | 56% | 2022-10-07 | Lost |
954 | 954 | 50% | 2022-06-12 | Lost |
1284 | 1036 | 81% | 2021-09-11 | Won |
920 | 929 | 49% | 2021-09-01 | Lost |
1152 | 1094 | 58% | 2021-01-11 | Won |
1016 | 780 | 80% | 2020-10-31 | Lost |
1052 | 1049 | 50% | 2020-09-27 | Lost |
1158 | 1012 | 70% | 2020-05-06 | Won |
1081 | 1013 | 60% | 2020-05-03 | Won |
1042 | 1063 | 47% | 2020-01-17 | Won |
1026 | 993 | 55% | 2019-01-06 | Won |
1307 | 1203 | 65% | 2018-05-13 | Won |
1028 | 1029 | 50% | 2018-05-12 | Won |
1158 | 1012 | 70% | 2018-04-29 | Won |
984 | 1144 | 28% | 2018-03-01 | Lost |
984 | 1144 | 28% | 2018-02-10 | Won |
969 | 926 | 56% | 2018-01-01 | Won |
905 | 1284 | 10% | 2017-01-14 | Lost |
1137 | 1109 | 54% | 2015-08-31 | Lost |
933 | 1158 | 21% | 2015-07-08 | Won |
984 | 1091 | 35% | 2014-09-19 | Won |
1087 | 1015 | 60% | 2014-05-16 | Won |
1063 | 1091 | 46% | 2013-11-10 | Lost |
977 | 781 | 76% | 2013-04-14 | Lost |
1068 | 987 | 61% | 2012-08-10 | Lost |
937 | 1043 | 35% | 2012-06-30 | Won |
1063 | 1089 | 46% | 2012-03-18 | Lost |
1155 | 989 | 72% | 2011-10-02 | Won |
1111 | 988 | 67% | 2011-06-24 | Won |
1143 | 1227 | 38% | 2011-06-17 | Lost |
902 | 1010 | 35% | 2009-12-11 | Lost |
994 | 890 | 65% | 2009-10-24 | Won |
997 | 968 | 54% | 2009-04-22 | Won |
1076 | 1097 | 47% | 2009-04-03 | Won |
1097 | 1097 | 50% | 2009-03-18 | Lost |
956 | 1003 | 43% | 2009-02-28 | Won |
1050 | 1096 | 43% | 2009-02-12 | Won |
1227 | 1093 | 68% | 2009-02-06 | Won |
1030 | 958 | 60% | 2009-01-13 | Won |
1142 | 1227 | 38% | 2009-01-03 | Won |
1207 | 1030 | 73% | 2008-10-28 | Won |
925 | 904 | 53% | 2008-08-12 | Won |
Attacking (28 wins) average ELOs: 1054.8 vs 1038.1 has a 52.4% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).