Apples to Apples
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 11
Attacker wins (American): 5
Defender wins (German (SS)): 6
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1000 | 983 | 52% | 2023-12-12 | Won |
| 1222 | 1120 | 64% | 2023-08-04 | Lost |
| 1113 | 1118 | 49% | 2018-10-04 | Lost |
| 1037 | 962 | 61% | 2018-07-22 | Won |
| 850 | 873 | 47% | 2015-08-05 | Lost |
| 1110 | 964 | 70% | 2014-04-23 | Won |
| 1059 | 974 | 62% | 2011-04-02 | Lost |
| 971 | 927 | 56% | 2010-09-19 | Lost |
| 967 | 1117 | 30% | 2010-01-02 | Won |
| 1073 | 1233 | 28% | 2009-03-31 | Lost |
| 1051 | 1031 | 53% | 2008-10-01 | Won |
Attacking (5 wins) average ELOs: 1041.2 vs 1027.5 has a 51.97% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).