Old Hickory
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 43 (11 on the archive and 32 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German (SS)): 25
Defender wins (American): 18
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 885 | 1115 | 21% | 2020-12-30 | Lost |
| 983 | 1000 | 48% | 2020-01-22 | Lost |
| 941 | 1048 | 35% | 2020-01-05 | Lost |
| 1014 | 920 | 63% | 2019-10-10 | Won |
| 1097 | 1173 | 39% | 2017-03-04 | Won |
| 1031 | 939 | 63% | 2016-10-06 | Lost |
| 877 | 1038 | 28% | 2015-07-01 | Lost |
| 963 | 1031 | 40% | 2011-02-27 | Lost |
| 1238 | 1049 | 75% | 2009-09-12 | Won |
| 1228 | 1264 | 45% | 2009-06-13 | Lost |
| 1042 | 1110 | 40% | 2008-09-28 | Won |
Attacking (4 wins) average ELOs: 1027.2 vs 1062.5 has a 44.94% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).