Old Hickory
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 42 (10 on the archive and 32 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German (SS)): 15
Defender wins (American): 27
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1017 | 973 | 56% | 2020-12-30 | Lost |
| 1080 | 1000 | 61% | 2020-01-22 | Lost |
| 876 | 1019 | 31% | 2020-01-05 | Lost |
| 1035 | 1007 | 54% | 2019-10-10 | Won |
| 1081 | 1122 | 44% | 2017-03-04 | Won |
| 1041 | 939 | 64% | 2016-10-06 | Lost |
| 1117 | 1038 | 61% | 2015-07-01 | Lost |
| 980 | 1041 | 41% | 2011-02-27 | Lost |
| 1170 | 1003 | 72% | 2009-09-12 | Won |
| 1128 | 1067 | 59% | 2008-09-28 | Won |
Attacking (4 wins) average ELOs: 1052.5 vs 1020.9 has a 54.54% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).