Old Hickory
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 40 (9 on the archive and 31 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German (SS)): 14
Defender wins (American): 26
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
---|
987 | 1027 | 44% | 2020-12-30 | Lost |
1087 | 1000 | 62% | 2020-01-22 | Lost |
917 | 992 | 39% | 2020-01-05 | Lost |
1030 | 959 | 60% | 2019-10-10 | Won |
1052 | 1142 | 37% | 2017-03-04 | Won |
1083 | 939 | 70% | 2016-10-06 | Lost |
1108 | 1036 | 60% | 2015-07-01 | Lost |
956 | 1083 | 32% | 2011-02-27 | Lost |
925 | 904 | 53% | 2009-09-12 | Won |
Attacking (3 wins) average ELOs: 1016.1 vs 1009.1 has a 51.01% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).