Old Hickory
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 43 (11 on the archive and 32 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German (SS)): 25
Defender wins (American): 18
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1156 | 952 | 76% | 2020-12-30 | Lost |
| 1084 | 1000 | 62% | 2020-01-22 | Lost |
| 914 | 1029 | 34% | 2020-01-05 | Lost |
| 1012 | 965 | 57% | 2019-10-10 | Won |
| 1056 | 1119 | 41% | 2017-03-04 | Won |
| 1094 | 939 | 71% | 2016-10-06 | Lost |
| 846 | 1038 | 25% | 2015-07-01 | Lost |
| 961 | 1094 | 32% | 2011-02-27 | Lost |
| 1152 | 1060 | 63% | 2009-09-12 | Won |
| 1228 | 1263 | 45% | 2009-06-13 | Lost |
| 1048 | 1030 | 53% | 2008-09-28 | Won |
Attacking (4 wins) average ELOs: 1050.1 vs 1044.5 has a 50.81% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).