The Head of the Mace
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 95 (13 on the archive and 82 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German (SS)): 42
Defender wins (Polish): 53
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 944 | 944 | 50% | 2022-10-16 | Won |
| 1217 | 1011 | 77% | 2022-10-07 | Lost |
| 1000 | 1061 | 41% | 2021-07-27 | Lost |
| 1081 | 1133 | 43% | 2018-10-06 | Lost |
| 1032 | 1207 | 27% | 2016-11-08 | Won |
| 943 | 987 | 44% | 2013-01-27 | Lost |
| 930 | 1018 | 38% | 2012-03-09 | Lost |
| 801 | 966 | 28% | 2011-12-03 | Won |
| 1008 | 1038 | 46% | 2011-10-03 | Lost |
| 1010 | 1242 | 21% | 2009-03-12 | Lost |
| 976 | 1210 | 21% | 2009-03-12 | Lost |
| 851 | 1029 | 26% | 2008-10-01 | Won |
| 1029 | 1036 | 49% | 2008-09-09 | Lost |
Attacking (4 wins) average ELOs: 986.3 vs 1067.8 has a 38.48% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).