Muhlenkamp's Miracle
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 5
Attacker wins (German (SS)): 3
Defender wins (Russian): 1
With balance for the defender (only):
Games played: 1
Attacker wins (German (SS)): 0
Defender wins (Russian): 1
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 998 | 1070 | 40% | 2025-02-28 | Lost |
| 805 | 1109 | 15% | 2015-11-13 | Won |
| 1024 | 1333 | 14% | 2014-11-01 | Lost |
| 1014 | 1204 | 25% | 2009-01-27 | Won |
| 1152 | 968 | 74% | 2008-10-10 | Won |
Attacking (3 wins) average ELOs: 998.6 vs 1136.8 has a 31.1% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).