The Hellenic Expedition
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 36 (4 on the archive and 32 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Greek / New Zealand): 10
Defender wins (German): 26
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
---|
1072 | 1015 | 58% | 2020-07-13 | Lost |
1000 | 1000 | 50% | 2018-06-19 | Lost |
987 | 987 | 50% | 2009-03-23 | Lost |
996 | 979 | 52% | 2008-10-23 | Lost |
Attacking (0 wins) average ELOs: 1013.8 vs 995.3 has a 52.66% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).