The Hellenic Expedition
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 39 (6 on the archive and 33 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Greek / New Zealand): 10
Defender wins (German): 29
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1041 | 990 | 57% | 2025-06-12 | Lost |
| 1201 | 1167 | 55% | 2020-07-13 | Lost |
| 1216 | 1221 | 49% | 2018-06-19 | Lost |
| 1101 | 1095 | 51% | 2009-03-23 | Lost |
| 1174 | 1060 | 66% | 2008-10-23 | Lost |
| 930 | 1140 | 23% | 2008-08-31 | Lost |
Attacking (0 wins) average ELOs: 1110.5 vs 1112.2 has a 49.76% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).