The Hellenic Expedition
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 39 (6 on the archive and 33 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Greek / New Zealand): 10
Defender wins (German): 29
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 956 | 1002 | 43% | 2025-06-12 | Lost |
| 1205 | 1072 | 68% | 2020-07-13 | Lost |
| 1221 | 1170 | 57% | 2018-06-19 | Lost |
| 1100 | 1096 | 51% | 2009-03-23 | Lost |
| 1189 | 994 | 75% | 2008-10-23 | Lost |
| 923 | 1151 | 21% | 2008-08-31 | Lost |
Attacking (0 wins) average ELOs: 1099 vs 1080.8 has a 52.61% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).